Almeria vs Burgos Prediction

Almeria host Burgos on 3 October 2026 at 17:15 in Segunda División round eight. Los Rojiblancos have won their last three home matches and kept clean sheets in all of them, averaging 2.67 goals per game at the Estadio de Almería. Burgos arrive on a four-game unbeaten run, including a 1-0 win over Eldense last weekend, and have conceded just 0.50 goals per game in their last four away fixtures. Almeria will be without Cipenga and Dzodic due to international duty, with Guedes, Rodrigo Ely, and Rodriguez sidelined by injury. Burgos are missing Appin and Iribarne on international duty, while defender Sergio Gonzalez is expected to sit out.

Form and H2H

Almeria's last ten matches show seven wins, no draws, and three losses at home, with an average of 1.70 goals for and 0.50 against. Burgos have won five of their last ten away games, drawn three, and lost two, averaging 1.20 goals for and 1.00 against. The head-to-head record between these sides favours Almeria heavily. They won 2-0 in November 2021, 2-0 in April 2022, and 2-0 in October 2024. Burgos claimed a 3-1 victory in March 2025 and won 2-1 in December 2025, but the teams drew 0-0 in May 2026. Almeria's home record and defensive solidity give them a clear edge in this matchup.

Best bet

Almeria 1-0 Burgos. The hosts have won all three home matches this season while keeping clean sheets in each, and Burgos have conceded only 0.50 goals per game on the road. Almeria's defensive record at home over their last ten matches stands at just 0.50 goals conceded per game, making a low-scoring home win the most likely outcome.

Odds to watch

No partner prices are currently available for this fixture. Punters can monitor the 1X2 market as odds are released closer to kickoff. Almeria's clean sheet record at home and Burgos' recent defensive stability suggest backing the hosts to win without conceding will offer value when odds are published.