Almeria vs Cadiz Prediction

Almería host Cádiz in the fourth round of the Spanish Segunda División, with kick-off at 22:00. Almería made a strong statement with a 3-0 home victory over Eldense in their opening match, though they have since suffered consecutive 1-0 defeats away from home. Cádiz, by contrast, have drawn all three of their opening fixtures without yet recording a win, including a 0-0 stalemate at home to Celta B and a 2-2 comeback away to Eldense. The visitors have undergone significant squad rebuilding with 15 new arrivals, while head coach Albert Celades has had limited time to establish understanding among his players. Almería's home record remains a key advantage, with the team conceding just one goal at the Estadio de Almería so far this season.

Form and Head-to-Head

Almería's last ten home matches show four wins, one draw and five losses, averaging 1.13 goals for and 0.69 against. Cádiz's away form is considerably weaker, with just one win, four draws and five losses in their last ten, conceding nearly 1.5 goals per game on the road. The head-to-head record between these sides is mixed, with Almería unbeaten at home against Cádiz since January 2019. Cádiz have won only one of their last 15 matches overall and recorded just one away victory in 2026, underlining their struggles on their travels. Almería's recent goalscoring drought—failing to score in two consecutive matches—is a concern, though their defensive solidity at home provides encouragement.

Best Bet

Almería are backed to claim victory at home. The hosts possess clear advantages in both form and fixture context: they have not lost to Cádiz at home since 2019, they have conceded only one goal in their opening home match, and they benefit from García Pimienta's tactical setup which emphasizes control and aggression on familiar turf. Cádiz's inability to win away from home this season, combined with their ongoing integration issues, makes them vulnerable despite their resilience in drawing matches. A home win offers the most straightforward path to three points.

Odds to Watch

With no current partner prices available for this fixture, bettors are encouraged to check live odds across Melbet, 1xBet, 1Win, Mostbet and 22Bet closer to kick-off. Almería's home advantage and superior recent form at the Estadio de Almería should be reflected in the odds, while Cádiz's away record and lack of wins this season will likely be priced accordingly. Monitor movement in the odds as team news emerges, particularly regarding squad availability for both sides.