Arsenal Tula vs Ska-khabarovsk Prediction

Arsenal Tula host Ska-khabarovsk on 13 September 2026 at 17:00 in the First League's 11th round. The pick is Arsenal Tula win. Tula sit 10th with 12 points; Ska-khabarovsk are 18th with 3 points and have won just twice in their last ten away matches across all competitions. Arsenal average 0.70 goals at home but concede 1.70 per game. Ska-khabarovsk average 1.21 goals away but leak 1.99 per match, the worst defensive record on the road in the division.

Form and H2H

Arsenal lost their last official fixture, a Russian Cup tie to Tekstilshchik 0–1 with a rotated squad, but in league play they occupy second place for shots on target, averaging 3.56 per game at home. In eight of their last ten home league matches, they landed at least four shots on target. Ska-khabarovsk appointed Sergey Zhukov on 1 September and lost 2–3 away to Leningrad on 5 September. They have lost eight of their last ten league matches and trailed opponents in total shot attempts in eight of ten away fixtures, showing consistent control problems outside their stadium.

Head-to-head: Arsenal won 3–2 in July 2022, then lost 0–6 in June 2023. The sides drew 1–1 in October 2023, then Arsenal won 1–0 in April 2024, 1–0 again in August 2024, and Ska-khabarovsk won 1–0 in April 2025. Arsenal's home record against Ska-khabarovsk shows two wins and one loss in their last three meetings at this ground.

Best Bet

Arsenal Tula win. The hosts have conceded in each of Ska-khabarovsk's last five away games and face an opponent that has not won on the road in ten attempts. Arsenal's defensive average at home is 1.70 goals per match; Ska-khabarovsk average exactly 1.21 away, so the gap narrows the away side's scoring threat. However, Ska-khabarovsk's away defence is critically weak at 1.99 conceded per game, and Arsenal have shown they can finish at home. The main risk is Ska-khabarovsk's ability to score on the counter—they average one goal away—but their frequency of conceding on the road makes them too vulnerable to expect a quiet evening in Tula.

Odds to Watch

Arsenal Tula win is the main play. Double Chance 1X (Arsenal win or draw) offers strong odds-to-probability value. Arsenal's home form trend shows a profit of 1.05 on Double Chance Win or Draw. Under 2.5 goals is favoured over Over 2.5 in the market. Arsenal's individual total Over 1.5 sits at 1.87, nearly even money, reflecting their mid-range scoring output at home. Ska-khabarovsk's individual total Under 1.5 is priced at 1.22, indicating the market expects them to score fewer than 1.5 goals. Referee Artur Sagdiev has shown a red card in one of ten First League matches this season and averaged 4.8 yellow cards per game.