Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction

Atalanta host Hapoel Tel Aviv on 20 August in Bergamo for the first leg of their UEFA Europa Conference League play-off tie. This is a two-legged encounter, and the away side will likely adopt a cautious approach without needing to fully commit in Italy with the return fixture just a week away. Atalanta are strong at home and favoured to control proceedings, but Hapoel's defensive setup could limit the entertainment value.

Form and H2H

Atalanta's last ten matches show four wins, three draws, and three losses at home, averaging 1.55 goals for and 1.18 against. Hapoel Tel Aviv arrive with an impressive away record: five wins, four draws, and one loss, scoring 1.70 goals per game while conceding just 1.10. Notably, Hapoel have stayed under 3.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 outings and have never scored more than two goals in that span. Atalanta, similarly, have gone under 3.5 in 8 of their last 10 matches.

Best Bet

Under 3.5 goals is the standout selection. Both teams have shown a strong pattern of low-scoring results recently, and the tactical nature of a first-leg play-off—particularly with Hapoel unlikely to attack freely—supports this outcome. The odds at 1xBet and 22Bet sit at competitive levels for this market.

Odds to Watch

Atalanta are heavy favourites across the board. Home win odds range from 1.12 at Mostbet to 1.15 at 1Win. A draw is available at 6.7 (1Win) to 8.65 (1xBet and 22Bet), reflecting Hapoel's defensive approach. The away victory is priced between 11.0 (Mostbet) and 19.5 (1xBet and 22Bet), offering value for those backing an upset.