Austria vs Israel Prediction

Austria host Israel on 24 September 2026 at 21:45 in the UEFA Nations League group stage at the Raiffeisen Arena in Linz. Austria enter without David Alaba, Marcel Sabitzer, and Marco Arnautovic due to injury and squad rotation, forcing coach Ralf Rangnick to rebuild attacking links despite his stated commitment to intense counter-pressing. Israel, managed by Ran Ben-Shimon, arrive fresh from a 1–0 win over Albania in June and favour a patient, structured approach that minimizes open play from the opening minutes.

Form and H2H

Austria have won five of their last ten matches, conceding 1.31 goals per game on average. Israel match that record with five wins but score 1.84 per game and concede 1.48. The head-to-head record is split evenly: Austria won 3–1 and 4–2 in 2019 and 2021 respectively, while Israel claimed 4–2 and 5–2 victories in the same years. In eight of Austria's last ten outings, opponents have scored fewer than three goals. Israel have kept the first half under three goals in nine of their last ten matches and scored at least one goal in nine of ten across all competitions.

Best bet

Under 3.5 goals. Austria rarely drift into high-scoring contests: eight of their last ten matches finished with three goals or fewer combined. Israel concede sparingly and do not force early openings. Both teams scored or conceded in all ten of Austria's recent matches, but the structural caution of Israel and Austria's depleted attacking options make four goals unlikely. Rangnick's side have scored in every second half of their last ten games, and Israel match that pattern, so late concentration lapses remain the main risk. At 1xBet, Austria win is priced at 1.43.

Odds to watch

Austria are clear favourites. A home win trades at 1.38 on Mostbet, 1.40 on Melbet, and 1.43 on 1xBet. The draw sits at 4.80 on Mostbet and 4.94 on Melbet. Israel victory is available at 7.40 on Melbet and 7.55 on 1xBet. On the handicap line, Austria –1 is 1.63 with Israel +1 at 2.20 across the market. Both teams to score is priced at 1.73 for yes and 2.05 for no, indicating slight market lean toward goals from each side despite the structural caution on display.