Serie B · Regular Season - 4

Avellino vs Palermo Prediction

0 : 0LIVE 45' · HTItaly
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 12 Sept 2026Updated: 13 Sept 2026, 16:26

Match preview

Avellino hosts Palermo in a Serie B clash on 13 September 2026. The visitors arrive in excellent form, having won all five competitive matches to start the season, while the hosts have shown inconsistency with two early defeats before recovering with consecutive wins. Palermo's attacking prowess under Filippo Inzaghi's open, attacking 4-3-3 system contrasts sharply with Avellino's compact 3-5-2 approach, which prioritizes defensive solidity and quick transitions. The tactical battle between Inzaghi's fluid football and Alessandro Nesta's structured defence promises an intriguing encounter.

Form and Head-to-Head

Palermo's season has been flawless so far: victories over Juve Stabia (1-0), Arezzo (3-2), and Sampdoria (3-1) in the league, plus cup wins against Lecce (2-0) and Mantova (5-2). The Sicilian side averages 2.8 goals per game and creates numerous chances through their dynamic wingers. Avellino began poorly with defeats to Arezzo (1-2) and Monza (0-3), but have since stabilized with wins over Vicenza (3-0) and Modena (1-0). However, their defensive vulnerabilities emerged when opponents compress their half, and they create relatively few clear-cut opportunities. Palermo's away record remains limited to one match, which was their toughest test, suggesting this will be their first genuine road challenge.

Best Bet

Palermo's superior form, attacking efficiency, and the gap in current momentum make a away victory the most logical outcome. The visitors have won five consecutive matches across all competitions and possess significantly more attacking firepower than their hosts. Avellino's defensive instability and limited creative output suggest they will struggle to contain Inzaghi's fluid attacking system. A Palermo win represents the best value in this fixture.

Odds to Watch

Palermo's attacking line has scored at least twice in four of their five recent matches. Given Avellino's defensive fragility—they have conceded five goals in four games—Palermo's individual total over 1.5 goals offers compelling value. The visitors' consistent attacking output and the hosts' vulnerability at the back make this a strong secondary play for those seeking additional betting angles on this match.

Avellino vs Palermo Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
22Bet3.873.321.97Place a bet
Best odds3.873.321.97
Average3.873.321.97
Lowest odds3.873.321.97
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Avellino vs Palermo

Date and time 13 September 2026 at 18:15

1X221.9748%
DCX/276%
BTTSYes50%
1 24%X 28%2 48%

Palermo to win

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Avellino vs Palermo Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

AvellinoAvellinoLast matchesPalermoPalermo
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals80%
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
0%Over 3.5 goals60%
40%BTTS60%
40%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head AvellinoPalermo

In the last 8 meetings, Palermo hold the edge — 3 wins for Avellino, 3 for Palermo, 2 draws.

38% W325% D — 238% W3
  • Palermo2:0Avellino
    Serie B · 05 Apr 2026
  • Avellino2:2Palermo
    Serie B · 20 Dec 2025
  • Avellino1:2Palermo
    Serie C - Girone A · 13 Mar 2022
  • Palermo1:1Avellino
    Serie C - Girone A · 31 Oct 2021
  • Avellino1:0Palermo
    Serie C - Girone A · 26 May 2021
  • Palermo1:0Avellino
    Serie C - Girone A · 23 May 2021
  • Avellino1:0Palermo
    Serie C - Girone C · 07 Feb 2021
  • Palermo0:2Avellino
    Serie C - Girone C · 11 Oct 2020
100%Over 0.5100%
63%Over 1.563%
25%Over 2.525%
38%BTTS38%
75%Avellino over 0.563%

Betting profits Avellino vs Palermo

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Avellino

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+2.37614
Match WinnerDraw-6.82214
Match WinnerLose-1.25614
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.10811
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-0.90311
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.251114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.30814
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.59614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+0.46814
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.7036
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.5446
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-8.01213
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.101113
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-7.0007
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.7777

Palermo

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+1.21813
Match WinnerDraw-9.20113
Match WinnerLose-4.84413
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.38910
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-6.40110
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-3.44513
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+3.88813
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-2.21513
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.32913
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-0.66413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.32913
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+9.00411
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-2.99711
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.4179
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+0.8969
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-0.6512
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.7812
Goals Over/UnderOver 10.0011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.1011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreYes-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreNo+1.0311

Match statistics

3838%Possession %62%62
655%Total shots45%5
150%Shots on target50%1
250%Shots off target50%2
250%Corners50%2
225%Fouls75%6
00%Yellow cards100%1
00%Red cards0%0
17437%Passes63%297
13835%Accurate passes66%262
150%Saves50%1

Key events

  • 16'
    SubstitutionSubstitution
    Avellino
  • 35'
    M. BaniYellow card
    Palermo

AvellinoLast matches Avellino

In the last 5 matches Avellino have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

40% W220% D — 140% L2
  • Modena0:1Avellino
    WSerie B · 06 Sept 2026
  • Avellino3:0Vicenza Virtus
    WSerie B · 29 Aug 2026
  • Avellino1:2Arezzo
    LSerie B · 22 Aug 2026
  • Monza3:0Avellino
    LCoppa Italia · 14 Aug 2026
  • Avellino1:1Torino
    DFriendlies Clubs · 08 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
40%

PalermoLast matches Palermo

Palermo are in a strong run: 5 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.8 goals per game.

100% W50% D — 00% L0
  • Palermo3:1Sampdoria
    WSerie B · 07 Sept 2026
  • Palermo5:2Mantova
    WCoppa Italia · 03 Sept 2026
  • Arezzo2:3Palermo
    WSerie B · 30 Aug 2026
  • Palermo1:0Juve Stabia
    WSerie B · 23 Aug 2026
  • Palermo2:0Lecce
    WCoppa Italia · 17 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
5
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals / game
2.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

Avellino vs Palermo Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1PalermoPalermo33007-349
2SudtirolSudtirol42205-238
3MantovaMantova32106-337
4ModenaModena42116-337
5AscoliAscoli42114-317
6PadovaPadova42114-407
7ArezzoArezzo42025-9-46
8CesenaCesena41306-516
9PisaPisa42026-606
10AvellinoAvellino32015-236
11EmpoliEmpoli42023-4-16
12Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus41216-8-25
13BeneventoBenevento41125-504
14Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella41127-614
15CremoneseCremonese41125-7-24
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona41128-624
17CatanzaroCatanzaro41034-7-33
18Juve StabiaJuve Stabia41123-6-32
19SampdoriaSampdoria30123-6-31
20CarrareseCarrarese40132-5-31
League position 10 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 1 / 20
267%Wins100%3
133%Draws0%0
133%Losses0%0
571%Goals scored100%7
267%Goals conceded100%3
667%Points100%9

Season statistic Avellino vs Palermo

AvellinoAvellino

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 6 (1.2)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

PalermoPalermo

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 4 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 14 (2.8)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Halftime
  • Venue Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino

Lineups

AvellinoAvellino · 3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. T. Martinelli
  2. T. Cancellotti
  3. A. Izzo
  4. P. Enrici
  5. M. Venturi
  6. L. Di Maggio
  7. B. Moruzzi
  8. M. Besaggio
  9. M. Palumbo
  10. L. Pandolfi
  11. R. Russo

Bench

  1. S. Di Paolo
  2. E. Adamo
  3. Thomas Berenbruch
  4. T. Biasci
  5. W. Cheddira
  6. A. Di Bitonto
  7. G. Faticanti
  8. A. Iannarilli
  9. F. Missori
  10. L. Palmiero
  11. M. Sala
  12. D. Sounas

PalermoPalermo · 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. M. Fortin
  2. T. Cassandro
  3. M. Bani
  4. F. Barba
  5. E. Gyasi
  6. J. Segre
  7. F. Ranocchia
  8. T. Augello
  9. D. Vavassori
  10. A. Palumbo
  11. J. Pohjanpalo

Bench

  1. N. Balagušs
  2. A. Bozzolan
  3. P. Ceccaroni
  4. N. Estévez
  5. A. Gabrielloni
  6. C. Gomes
  7. G. Magnani
  8. M. Nespola
  9. N. Pierozzi
  10. D. Johnsen

Injuries and suspensions

AvellinoAvellino

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

PalermoPalermo

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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