UEFA Nations League · League B - 4

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland Prediction

- : -5 October 2026 at 21:45World

AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 03 Oct 2026

Match preview

Poland host Bosnia and Herzegovina on 5 October 2026 at 21:45 in UEFA Nations League Group B4. Jan Urban's side missed the World Cup after losing to Sweden in March but return with Robert Lewandowski fit and available. Bosnia qualified for the World Cup in North America, reaching the knockout stage before losing to the United States. Both teams chase promotion to League A in a group that also includes Sweden and Romania.

Form and H2H

Poland have won four of their last ten matches but conceded seven goals across three summer fixtures against Ukraine and Nigeria. Bosnia won two of their last ten and kept no clean sheets in four World Cup matches, conceding eight goals total. Poland won both previous Nations League meetings in 2020: a 2-1 away victory and a 3-0 home win, with Lewandowski scoring twice in the latter. The teams drew 0-0 when they met on 25 September 2026.

Best bet

Poland to win. Lewandowski's return gives Urban a reliable attacking focal point, while Piotr Zieliński and Sebastian Szymański provide midfield creativity against a Bosnian defence that struggled at the World Cup. Bosnia face personnel problems: Amar Dedić and Kenan Busuladžić are injured, and Kerim Alajbegović's hip injury leaves his availability uncertain. Poland's home advantage, stronger historical record and greater squad depth make them the clear choice. Back Poland at 1.49 with Melbet, 1.53 with 1xBet, 1.5 with Mostbet, or 1.56 with 22Bet.

Odds to watch

The draw sits at 4.44 with Melbet, 4.55 with 1xBet, 4.4 with Mostbet, and 4.45 with 22Bet. Bosnia's away record shows four wins in ten matches, but their defensive fragility and injury concerns make an upset unlikely. A Poland win remains the strongest play at the available prices.

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland Odds

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Bet
	1.49	4.44	6.2	Place a bet
	1.53	4.55	6.37	Place a bet
	1.5	4.4	6.2	Place a bet
	1.56	4.45	6.07	Place a bet
Best odds	1.56	4.55	6.37
Average	1.52	4.46	6.21
Lowest odds	1.49	4.40	6.07

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Melbet

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Mostbet

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22Bet

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1X2 prediction for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland

Date and time 5 October 2026 at 21:45

1X211.4964%

O/UO 1.580%

DC1/X82%

BTTSYes50%

1 64%X 18%2 18%

W2(+1.0)

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Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Bosnia &.Last matchesPoland

80%Over 0.5 goals80%

80%Over 1.5 goals80%

40%Over 2.5 goals60%

40%Over 3.5 goals60%

60%BTTS40%

60%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Bosnia & Herzegovina — Poland

In the last 3 meetings, Poland hold the edge — 0 wins for Bosnia & Herzegovina, 2 for Poland, 1 draws.

0% W — 033% D — 167% W — 2

Poland0:0Bosnia & Herzegovina
UEFA Nations League · 25 Sept 2026
Poland3:0Bosnia & Herzegovina
UEFA Nations League · 14 Oct 2020
Bosnia & Herzegovina1:2Poland
UEFA Nations League · 07 Sept 2020

67%Over 0.567%

67%Over 1.567%

67%Over 2.567%

33%BTTS33%

33%Bosnia &. over 0.567%

Betting profits Bosnia &. vs Poland

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Market	Outcome	P/L	Wins	Games
Match Winner	Win	-6.27	4	15
Match Winner	Draw	+20.51	9	15
Match Winner	Lose	-12.01	2	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 1.5	+2.27	13	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 1.5	-7.64	2	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 2	+1.52	12	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 2	-2.59	8	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 2.5	-2.34	6	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 2.5	+3.11	9	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 3	+0.11	5	13
Goals Over/Under	Under 3	-0.01	8	13
Goals Over/Under	Over 3.5	+8.40	6	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 3.5	-2.80	8	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 4.5	-0.44	1	8
Goals Over/Under	Under 4.5	+0.03	7	8
Goals Over/Under	Over 0.5	+0.20	2	2
Goals Over/Under	Under 0.5	-2.00	0	2
Goals Over/Under	Over 4	-1.00	1	2
Goals Over/Under	Under 4	+0.26	2	2
Both Teams Score	Yes	+6.33	6	6
Both Teams Score	No	-6.00	0	6

Poland

Market	Outcome	P/L	Wins	Games
Match Winner	Win	-5.00	7	15
Match Winner	Draw	+3.07	4	15
Match Winner	Lose	-3.46	4	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 1.5	+1.65	13	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 1.5	-7.26	2	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 2	+1.26	9	11
Goals Over/Under	Under 2	-2.21	5	11
Goals Over/Under	Over 2.5	+0.59	8	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 2.5	-0.31	7	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 3	+1.27	6	13
Goals Over/Under	Under 3	-1.45	7	13
Goals Over/Under	Over 3.5	+3.18	6	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 3.5	-2.60	9	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 4.5	+4.98	3	12
Goals Over/Under	Under 4.5	-1.58	9	12
Goals Over/Under	Over 0.5	+0.10	1	1
Goals Over/Under	Under 0.5	-1.00	0	1
Both Teams Score	Yes	+4.38	7	10
Both Teams Score	No	-5.19	3	10

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

Last matches Bosnia & Herzegovina

In the last 5 matches Bosnia & Herzegovina have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 240% D — 220% L — 1

Bosnia & Herzegovina1:1Sweden
DUEFA Nations League · 02 Oct 2026
Romania2:4Bosnia & Herzegovina
WUEFA Nations League · 28 Sept 2026
Poland0:0Bosnia & Herzegovina
DUEFA Nations League · 25 Sept 2026
USA2:0Bosnia & Herzegovina
LWorld Cup · 02 Jul 2026
Bosnia & Herzegovina3:1Qatar
WWorld Cup · 24 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches: 5
Wins: 2
Draws: 2
Losses: 1
Goals / game: 1.6
Over 1.5: 80%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 60%

Last matches Poland

In the last 5 matches Poland have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2

Poland6:0Romania
WUEFA Nations League · 02 Oct 2026
Sweden3:1Poland
LUEFA Nations League · 28 Sept 2026
Poland0:0Bosnia & Herzegovina
DUEFA Nations League · 25 Sept 2026
Poland2:2Nigeria
DFriendlies · 03 Jun 2026
Poland0:2Ukraine
LFriendlies · 31 May 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches: 5
Wins: 1
Draws: 2
Losses: 2
Goals / game: 1.8
Over 1.5: 80%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 40%

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	Diff	Pts
1	France	3	2	1	0	3-1	2	7
2	Belgium	3	2	0	1	5-1	4	6
3	Italy	3	1	1	1	5-4	1	4
4	Türkiye	3	0	0	3	1-8	-7	0
1	Greece	3	2	1	0	5-3	2	7
2	Netherlands	3	1	2	0	5-4	1	5
3	Germany	3	1	1	1	3-2	1	4
4	Serbia	3	0	0	3	2-6	-4	0
1	Spain	2	2	0	0	7-3	4	6
2	England	2	1	0	1	4-3	1	3
3	Croatia	2	1	0	1	3-5	-2	3
4	Czechia	2	0	0	2	1-4	-3	0
1	Portugal	3	3	0	0	7-3	4	9
2	Denmark	3	1	0	2	6-7	-1	3
3	Norway	3	1	0	2	5-6	-1	3
4	Wales	3	1	0	2	2-4	-2	3
1	Switzerland	2	2	0	0	6-0	6	6
2	Slovenia	2	1	1	0	2-0	2	4
3	Scotland	2	0	1	1	0-3	-3	1
4	FYR Macedonia	2	0	0	2	0-5	-5	0
1	Northern Ireland	3	2	1	0	4-0	4	7
2	Ukraine	3	1	1	1	1-3	-2	4
3	Hungary	3	1	1	1	1-1	0	4
4	Georgia	3	0	1	2	0-2	-2	1
1	Austria	3	2	1	0	8-4	4	7
2	Kosovo	3	1	1	1	2-3	-1	4
3	Rep. Of Ireland	3	1	1	1	5-3	2	4
4	Israel	3	0	1	2	1-6	-5	1
1	Sweden	3	2	1	0	6-3	3	7
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	2	0	5-3	2	5
3	Poland	3	1	1	1	7-3	4	4
4	Romania	3	0	0	3	3-12	-9	0
1	Albania	2	2	0	0	5-0	5	6
2	Finland	2	1	1	0	7-0	7	4
3	Belarus	2	0	1	1	0-2	-2	1
4	San Marino	2	0	0	2	0-10	-10	0
1	Montenegro	3	3	0	0	7-4	3	9
2	Cyprus	3	1	1	1	3-2	1	4
3	Armenia	3	1	0	2	4-5	-1	3
4	Latvia	3	0	1	2	1-4	-3	1
1	Slovakia	3	2	1	0	5-2	3	7
2	Moldova	3	1	1	1	3-4	-1	4
3	Faroe Islands	3	0	3	0	3-3	0	3
4	Kazakhstan	3	0	1	2	3-5	-2	1
1	Iceland	2	1	1	0	4-1	3	4
2	Luxembourg	2	1	0	1	2-4	-2	3
3	Estonia	2	0	2	0	1-1	0	2
4	Bulgaria	2	0	1	1	1-2	-1	1
1	Malta	2	1	1	0	3-2	1	4
2	Gibraltar	2	0	2	0	1-1	0	2
3	Andorra	2	0	1	1	1-2	-1	1
1	Lithuania	2	1	1	0	3-1	2	4
2	Azerbaijan	2	0	2	0	1-1	0	2
3	Liechtenstein	2	0	1	1	0-2	-2	1