English Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction

- : -19 September 2026 at 17:00England
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 17 Sept 2026Updated: 18 Sept 2026, 04:28

Match preview

Brighton host Arsenal on 19 September 2026 at 17:00 in a Premier League clash between a resurgent home side and a visiting team in exceptional form. Brighton demolished Coventry City 5-0 last weekend and have won seven of their last ten matches at the Amex, averaging 2.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Arsenal arrive on a six-game winning streak across all competitions, including a 2-0 victory over Sunderland, and have won seven of their last ten matches overall. The Gunners' defensive solidity away from home stands out: they have conceded just 0.25 goals per game in recent away fixtures and kept clean sheets in 75 percent of those outings. Brighton will be without Minteh, Mitoma, and Hinshelwood through injury, though their attacking display against Coventry suggests the absences have not blunted their threat. Arsenal have William Saliba sidelined and Christian Mosquera is doubtful.

Form and H2H

Brighton's home record reads W7 D2 L1 over their last ten matches, with an average of 2.80 goals for and 1.00 against. Arsenal's away form is W7 D1 L2 with 2.00 goals for and 0.99 against. The head-to-head record between these sides since 2017 shows six meetings with three wins apiece: Arsenal won 2-0 in October 2017, Brighton took 2-1 victories in March 2018 and December 2019, and the teams drew 1-1 twice in December 2018 and May 2019, with Brighton also winning 2-1 in June 2020. Arsenal's recent form, combined with their fortress-like away defence, positions them as clear favourites despite Brighton's strong home record and attacking output.

Best Bet

Arsenal to win is the primary selection. The Gunners' six-game winning run, defensive record of 0.99 goals conceded per game, and exceptional away form where they have conceded just 0.25 goals per game make them value picks in this fixture. Brighton, while dangerous at home, have shown vulnerability against top-tier opposition and face an Arsenal side that has kept five clean sheets in their last ten matches. Couple Arsenal's win with their Over 1.5 goals, given they have scored 2.00 goals per game over their last ten outings.

Odds to Watch

No partner prices are currently available for this match. Bettors can track Arsenal to win, Brighton to win, and the draw across Melbet, 1xBet, 1Win, Mostbet, and 22Bet as odds develop. Arsenal's clean sheet odds and Over 1.5 goals markets will offer additional angles as the match approaches. Brighton 0-2 Arsenal remains the most likely scoreline given Arsenal's defensive prowess and Brighton's recent concession patterns.

Brighton vs Arsenal Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet4.741.69Place a bet
1xBet4.884.161.76Place a bet
Mostbet4.753.941.67Place a bet
Best odds4.884.161.76
Average4.784.031.71
Lowest odds4.703.941.67
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1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Brighton vs Arsenal

Date and time 19 September 2026 at 17:00

1X221.69
BTTSYes50%

Competitive fixture

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Brighton vs Arsenal Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

BrightonBrightonLast matchesArsenalArsenal
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
100%Over 1.5 goals60%
80%Over 2.5 goals40%
80%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS40%
60%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Brighton — Arsenal

In the last 8 meetings, Arsenal hold the edge — 1 wins for Brighton, 5 for Arsenal, 2 draws.

13% W125% D263% W5
  • Brighton0:1Arsenal
    Premier League · 04 Mar 2026
  • Arsenal2:1Brighton
    Premier League · 27 Dec 2025
  • Arsenal2:0Brighton
    League Cup · 29 Oct 2025
  • Brighton1:1Arsenal
    Premier League · 04 Jan 2025
  • Arsenal1:1Brighton
    Premier League · 31 Aug 2024
  • Brighton0:3Arsenal
    Premier League · 06 Apr 2024
  • Arsenal2:0Brighton
    Premier League · 17 Dec 2023
  • Arsenal0:3Brighton
    Premier League · 14 May 2023
100%Over 0.5100%
88%Over 1.588%
38%Over 2.538%
38%BTTS38%
50%Brighton over 0.588%

Betting profits Brighton vs Arsenal

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Brighton

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+3.24814
Match WinnerDraw-5.96214
Match WinnerLose-2.23414
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.9144
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-4.0004
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.18810
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-2.29310
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+2.171014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-5.26414
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+2.071014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-3.09814
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+1.05614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.87814
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+1.1147
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0057
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+1.6511
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.0001

Arsenal

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+4.391114
Match WinnerDraw-5.99214
Match WinnerLose-9.08114
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.93811
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+0.54511
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.19714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.68714
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-4.28714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.371114
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-6.80314
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+2.191114
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+1.1333
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+1.6912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.6912
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.3268
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-0.5728

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

BrightonLast matches Brighton

Brighton are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 3.2 goals per game.

60% W320% D120% L1
  • Manchester United2:3Brighton
    WLeague Cup · 16 Sept 2026
  • Coventry0:5Brighton
    WPremier League · 13 Sept 2026
  • Brighton1:1Leeds
    DPremier League · 05 Sept 2026
  • Chelsea4:3Brighton
    LPremier League · 30 Aug 2026
  • Brighton4:0Tromso
    WUEFA Europa Conference League · 27 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals / game
3.2
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
60%

ArsenalLast matches Arsenal

Arsenal are in a strong run: 5 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.0 goals per game.

100% W50% D00% L0
  • Ipswich2:4Arsenal
    WLeague Cup · 15 Sept 2026
  • Sunderland0:2Arsenal
    WPremier League · 12 Sept 2026
  • Napoli0:1Arsenal
    WUEFA Champions League · 09 Sept 2026
  • Arsenal2:1Chelsea
    WPremier League · 06 Sept 2026
  • Aston Villa0:1Arsenal
    WPremier League · 31 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
5
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals / game
2.0
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

Brighton vs Arsenal Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1ArsenalArsenal44008-1712
2Manchester CityManchester City44008-2612
3LeedsLeeds42207-348
4Hull CityHull City42205-238
5BrightonBrighton421113-587
6ChelseaChelsea421110-917
7BrentfordBrentford41307-436
8LiverpoolLiverpool41306-426
9EvertonEverton41305-326
10IpswichIpswich42027-10-36
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest41214-405
12NewcastleNewcastle41217-8-15
13Manchester UnitedManchester United41127-704
14SunderlandSunderland41123-5-24
15BournemouthBournemouth40316-7-13
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41036-11-53
17TottenhamTottenham40220-5-52
18FulhamFulham40134-7-31
19Aston VillaAston Villa40131-7-61
20CoventryCoventry40040-10-100
League position 5 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 1 / 20
250%Wins100%4
125%Draws0%0
125%Losses0%0
13100%Goals scored62%8
5100%Goals conceded20%1
758%Points100%12

Season statistic Brighton vs Arsenal

BrightonBrighton

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 2
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 16 (3.2)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 0

ArsenalArsenal

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 4
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 10 (2.0)
  • Goals conceded 3 (0.6)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue American Express Stadium, Falmer
  • Referee Darren England

Lineups

BrightonBrighton

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

ArsenalArsenal

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

BrightonBrighton

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

ArsenalArsenal

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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