Championship · Regular Season - 4

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction

- : -2 September 2026 at 22:00England
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 01 Sept 2026Updated: 09 Sept 2026, 10:05

Match preview

Burnley host Middlesbrough at Turf Moor on Wednesday, 2 September 2026, in a Championship clash between contrasting form lines. The Clarets have struggled since their top-flight relegation, taking just one point from their opening three matches and conceding heavily in a 4–1 defeat at Norwich. Their defence has looked vulnerable under pressure, though they typically look to dominate at home through creative midfielders Dastan Satpayev, Marcus Edwards, and Hannibal Mejbri. Middlesbrough arrive in impressive form, having won four of their opening five competitive matches. Striker Will Lankshear has already netted four goals this season, supported by the creative contributions of Morgan Whittaker and Riley McGree. Boro will not sit deep away from home and instead look to engage in an intense midfield battle, presenting a stern test for Burnley's fragile backline.

Form and Head-to-Head

Burnley's last ten league matches show five draws and five losses, averaging just under one goal for and two against at home. Middlesbrough's away record is considerably stronger, with four wins in ten outings and an average of 1.66 goals for and 1.42 against. The head-to-head record between these sides is evenly matched across six previous meetings, with recent encounters typically tight and closely contested—including a 0–0 draw and a 1–1 stalemate in their last two Championship meetings. Middlesbrough hold the momentum advantage heading into this fixture.

Best Bet

Both Teams to Score – Yes is the standout selection for this encounter. Burnley's defensive frailties at Turf Moor, combined with Middlesbrough's attacking prowess and Will Lankshear's prolific early-season form, suggest an open contest with goals at both ends. The visitors will not park the bus, and the hosts will look to impose themselves on their home crowd. Available at 1.91 with Melbet and 1xBet, this represents fair value for an expected high-tempo affair.

Odds to Watch

Middlesbrough's away form and attacking momentum make them an intriguing proposition at 2.39 with Melbet and 1xBet, or 2.34 with Mostbet. A draw is also plausible given the historical pattern between these sides, priced at 3.5 across multiple operators. For those backing the hosts, Burnley are available at 2.72 with Melbet and 1xBet, or 2.75 with 1Win, though their recent domestic form offers limited encouragement.

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet2.723.52.39Place a bet
1xBet2.543.522.54Place a bet
1Win2.523.652.52Place a bet
Mostbet2.533.392.51Place a bet
Best odds2.723.652.54
Average2.583.522.49
Lowest odds2.523.392.39
Compare odds
1xBet

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1Win

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1X2 prediction for Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Date and time 2 September 2026 at 22:00

1X212.7235%
O/UO 1.580%
DC1/X70%
BTTSYes80%
1 35%X 35%2 30%

Combo Double chance : Burnley or draw and +1.5 goals

Place a bet on this match

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

BurnleyBurnleyLast matchesMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals80%
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
60%Over 3.5 goals40%
80%BTTS80%
80%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head BurnleyMiddlesbrough

In the last 8 meetings, Burnley hold the edge — 4 wins for Burnley, 0 for Middlesbrough, 4 draws.

50% W450% D — 40% W0
  • Middlesbrough0:0Burnley
    Championship · 29 Dec 2024
  • Burnley1:1Middlesbrough
    Championship · 06 Dec 2024
  • Middlesbrough1:2Burnley
    Championship · 07 Apr 2023
  • Burnley3:1Middlesbrough
    Championship · 17 Dec 2022
  • Middlesbrough0:0Burnley
    Premier League · 08 Apr 2017
  • Burnley1:0Middlesbrough
    Premier League · 26 Dec 2016
  • Burnley1:1Middlesbrough
    Championship · 19 Apr 2016
  • Middlesbrough1:2Burnley
    FA Cup · 09 Jan 2016
75%Over 0.575%
63%Over 1.563%
38%Over 2.538%
63%BTTS63%
75%Burnley over 0.563%

Betting profits Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Burnley

No profit history stored for this side yet.

Middlesbrough

No profit history stored for this side yet.

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

BurnleyLast matches Burnley

Burnley have not won in the last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 losses).

0% W060% D — 340% L2
  • Norwich4:1Burnley
    LChampionship · 29 Aug 2026
  • Bradford0:0Burnley
    DLeague Cup · 26 Aug 2026
  • West Brom3:1Burnley
    LChampionship · 23 Aug 2026
  • Burnley2:2West Ham
    DChampionship · 16 Aug 2026
  • Burnley1:1Notts County
    DLeague Cup · 08 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
80%

MiddlesbroughLast matches Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough are in a strong run: 4 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.0 goals per game.

80% W40% D — 020% L1
  • Middlesbrough3:1West Brom
    WChampionship · 29 Aug 2026
  • Doncaster1:3Middlesbrough
    WLeague Cup · 25 Aug 2026
  • Blackburn2:1Middlesbrough
    LChampionship · 22 Aug 2026
  • Middlesbrough2:1Lincoln
    WChampionship · 15 Aug 2026
  • Middlesbrough1:0Wrexham
    WLeague Cup · 07 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals / game
2.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
80%

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1CharltonCharlton33005-239
2WolvesWolves32109-457
3SwanseaSwansea32105-147
4QPRQPR32105-237
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough32016-426
6West BromWest Brom32016-516
7MillwallMillwall32016-516
8BirminghamBirmingham31204-315
9WatfordWatford31204-315
10BlackburnBlackburn31115-504
11BoltonBolton31112-204
12Bristol CityBristol City31114-5-14
13CardiffCardiff30305-503
14Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd30302-203
15PortsmouthPortsmouth31025-6-13
16NorwichNorwich31025-6-13
17LincolnLincoln31023-5-23
18SouthamptonSouthampton32019-452
19West HamWest Ham30214-5-12
20WrexhamWrexham30213-4-12
21DerbyDerby30123-7-41
22BurnleyBurnley30124-9-51
23PrestonPreston30032-6-40
24Stoke CityStoke City30033-9-60
League position 22 / 24Comparative team statisticsLeague position 5 / 24
00%Wins67%2
133%Draws0%0
267%Losses33%1
467%Goals scored100%6
9100%Goals conceded44%4
117%Points100%6

Season statistic Burnley vs Middlesbrough

BurnleyBurnley

  • Matches played 3
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 4 (1.3)
  • Goals conceded 9 (3.0)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 0

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

  • Matches played 3
  • Won home / away 2 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 6 (2.0)
  • Goals conceded 4 (1.3)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Turf Moor, Burnley
  • Referee M. Donohue

Lineups

BurnleyBurnley

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

BurnleyBurnley

  • E. AgyeiMissing Fixture. Injury
  • J. BanelMissing Fixture. Injury
  • A. BarnesMissing Fixture. Injury
  • J. BeyerMissing Fixture. Hamstring Injury
  • J. CullenMissing Fixture. Knee Injury
  • B. HumphreysMissing Fixture. Inactive
  • J. LaurentMissing Fixture. Red Card
  • E. AgyeiMissing Fixture. Injury

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

  • A. BanguraMissing Fixture. Coach's decision
  • A. BanguraMissing Fixture. Coach's decision

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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