Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 2

Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction

0 : 7FTPortugal
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 09 Sept 2026

Match preview

Casa Pia host Benfica in the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, looking to bounce back from a slow start to the domestic campaign. Having narrowly preserved their top-flight status last season through the relegation play-offs, Casa Pia opened their new league season with a 2-0 defeat to Maritimo. Meanwhile, Benfica finished third last season and missed out on automatic Champions League qualification, forcing them to balance European qualifiers with their domestic schedule. After progressing past St. Gallen and Hearts in Europe, the Eagles suffered an early stumble in the league, holding to a 2-2 draw against Academico Viseu at home.

Form and Head-to-Head

Casa Pia enter this contest with a ten-match record of three wins, two draws, and five losses, averaging 0.91 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. A victory over Estrela in pre-season was followed by defeats against Feirense and Leixoes prior to their opening-day league loss. Benfica hold a recent form guide of five wins, three draws, and two losses, averaging 2.82 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Despite their strong attacking stats, Benfica have displayed inconsistency, following up blowout victories with consecutive draws. Head-to-head encounters heavily favor competitive outings for the hosts; Casa Pia are unbeaten in their last three meetings against Benfica, including a 3-1 home win and two draws.

Best Bet

While Benfica possess greater overall quality and desperately need three points to stay on track, their busy European schedule and defensive lapses leave room for a competitive contest. Casa Pia have repeatedly proven to be a stubborn opponent for the Eagles in recent encounters. With home support behind them, the hosts should be able to keep the scoreline respectable. The primary pick for this match is Casa Pia (+1.5) handicap. Please remember that sports betting carries inherent financial risk and should be treated strictly as entertainment by individuals aged 18 and over.

Odds to Watch

Outright match winner odds reflect Benfica's status as heavy favorites. Mostbet lists a Casa Pia victory at 17.0, a draw at 6.9, and a Benfica win at 1.16. Alternatively, 22Bet offers a home win for Casa Pia at 18.5, a draw at 8.1, and an away victory for Benfica at 1.17.

Casa Pia vs Benfica Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Mostbet176.91.16Place a bet
22Bet18.58.11.17Place a bet
Best odds18.508.101.17
Average17.757.501.17
Lowest odds17.006.901.16
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Casa Pia vs Benfica

Date and time 17 August 2026 at 22:15

1X221.1680%
DCX/294%
BTTSYes60%
1 6%X 14%2 80%

Benfica to win

Place a bet on this match

Casa Pia vs Benfica Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Casa PiaCasa PiaLast matchesBenficaBenfica
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals100%
40%Over 2.5 goals80%
20%Over 3.5 goals80%
40%BTTS80%
40%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head Casa PiaBenfica

In the last 8 meetings, Benfica hold the edge — 1 wins for Casa Pia, 4 for Benfica, 3 draws.

13% W138% D — 350% W4
  • Casa Pia0:7Benfica
    Primeira Liga · 17 Aug 2026
  • Casa Pia1:1Benfica
    Primeira Liga · 06 Apr 2026
  • Benfica2:2Casa Pia
    Primeira Liga · 09 Nov 2025
  • Casa Pia3:1Benfica
    Primeira Liga · 25 Jan 2025
  • Benfica3:0Casa Pia
    Primeira Liga · 17 Aug 2024
  • Casa Pia0:1Benfica
    Primeira Liga · 17 Mar 2024
  • Benfica1:1Casa Pia
    Primeira Liga · 28 Oct 2023
  • Benfica3:0Casa Pia
    Primeira Liga · 04 Feb 2023
100%Over 0.5100%
88%Over 1.588%
63%Over 2.563%
50%BTTS50%
50%Casa Pia over 0.5100%

Betting profits Casa Pia vs Benfica

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Casa Pia

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-5.78213
Match WinnerDraw+3.14413
Match WinnerLose+3.33713
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-1.7335
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+9.3325
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-3.70612
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+6.85612
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-3.80612
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+4.25812
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-4.67413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+3.27913
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-1.92313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.051013
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.7527
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.1067
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-6.0006
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.8066
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.0211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.0711
Both Teams ScoreYes-0.0212
Both Teams ScoreNo-0.1112

Benfica

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-2.68815
Match WinnerDraw+16.79515
Match WinnerLose-4.49215
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.5299
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-9.0009
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.321014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-3.54414
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.321115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-3.67715
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+1.96815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-4.03715
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+0.14412
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.99812
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+1.9357
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-2.1847
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.7233
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-2.0013

Match statistics

3636%Possession %64%64
0.124%Expected goals96%3.04
313%Total shots87%20
00%Shots on target100%8
343%Shots off target57%4
125%Corners75%3
1146%Fouls54%13
3100%Yellow cards0%0
1100%Red cards0%0
34236%Passes64%621
27233%Accurate passes67%556
2100%Saves0%0
120%Offsides80%4

Key events

Casa PiaLast matches Casa Pia

In the last 5 matches Casa Pia have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

40% W20% D — 060% L3
  • Maritimo1:0Casa Pia
    LPrimeira Liga · 08 Aug 2026
  • Leixoes6:2Casa Pia
    LFriendlies Clubs · 01 Aug 2026
  • Benfica B1:0Casa Pia
    LFriendlies Clubs · 25 Jul 2026
  • Estrela1:2Casa Pia
    WFriendlies Clubs · 18 Jul 2026
  • Casa Pia2:0Torreense
    WPrimeira Liga · 28 May 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

BenficaLast matches Benfica

Benfica are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 3.8 goals per game.

60% W340% D — 20% L0
  • Heart Of Midlothian1:1Benfica
    DUEFA Europa League · 13 Aug 2026
  • Benfica2:2Academico Viseu
    DPrimeira Liga · 09 Aug 2026
  • Benfica6:1Heart Of Midlothian
    WUEFA Europa League · 06 Aug 2026
  • Benfica5:0FC ST. Gallen
    WUEFA Europa League · 30 Jul 2026
  • Benfica5:1CF Os Belenenses
    WFriendlies Clubs · 24 Jul 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals / game
3.8
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
80%

Casa Pia vs Benfica Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1AroucaArouca22005-056
2FC PortoFC Porto22004-046
3MaritimoMaritimo22003-126
4BenficaBenfica21109-274
5NacionalNacional21104-224
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara21103-214
7Sporting CPSporting CP21105-414
8GIL VicenteGIL Vicente11001-013
9EstrelaEstrela20204-402
10SC BragaSC Braga10102-201
11Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu20112-3-11
12FamalicaoFamalicao20112-3-11
13EstorilEstoril20111-3-21
14AlvercaAlverca20112-4-21
15MoreirenseMoreirense20112-6-41
16Vitória SCVitória SC20022-4-20
17Rio AveRio Ave20020-3-30
18Casa PiaCasa Pia20020-8-80
League position 18 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 4 / 18
2100%Wins50%1
00%Draws50%1
2100%Losses0%0
667%Goals scored100%9
8100%Goals conceded25%2
00%Points100%4

Season statistic Casa Pia vs Benfica

Casa PiaCasa Pia

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 3
  • Goals scored 6 (1.2)
  • Goals conceded 9 (1.8)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 2

BenficaBenfica

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 3 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 19 (3.8)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
  • Referee J. Pinheiro

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

Casa PiaCasa Pia

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

BenficaBenfica

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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