Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 2

Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction

Casa Pia

0 : 7FTPortugal

Benfica

AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 07 Sept 2026

Match preview

Casa Pia hosts Benfica in a Primeira Liga encounter on 18 August. The home side narrowly retained their top-flight status last season after a playoff victory, while Benfica finished third and must navigate Europa League qualifying. Both teams showed inconsistency in their opening fixtures—Casa Pia fell to Maritimo (0-2), while Benfica drew with Academico Vizeu (2-2)—suggesting neither has found rhythm yet.

Form and Head-to-Head

Casa Pia's recent record at home shows three wins in their last ten, though they average just 0.91 goals per game. Benfica's away form is stronger with five wins in ten matches and an impressive 2.82 goals-per-game average. However, the head-to-head narrative favors the underdogs: in their last three meetings, Benfica has won only once, with two draws. Casa Pia even claimed a 3-1 victory at home earlier this year, suggesting they can compete despite the quality gap.

Best Bet

Casa Pia +1.5 handicap offers value given their home advantage and Benfica's recent inconsistency. The visitors have drawn in two of their last four outings and failed to win in their last three head-to-head clashes. At Mostbet, this market pays 1.17, providing modest but realistic odds for a side that should keep this competitive.

Odds to Watch

Benfica's win is priced at 1.16 on Mostbet and 1.17 on 22Bet—tight odds reflecting their status as favorites. The draw holds appeal at 6.9 (Mostbet) or 8.1 (22Bet), particularly given Benfica's recent tendency toward stalemates and Casa Pia's capacity to frustrate stronger opponents at home.

Casa Pia vs Benfica Odds

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Bet
	17	6.9	1.16	Place a bet
	18.5	8.1	1.17	Place a bet
Best odds	18.50	8.10	1.17
Average	17.75	7.50	1.17
Lowest odds	17.00	6.90	1.16

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Mostbet

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22Bet

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1X2 prediction for Casa Pia vs Benfica

Date and time 17 Aug 2026, 19:15

1X221.1680%

DCX/294%

BTTSYes60%

1 6%X 14%2 80%

Benfica to win

Place a bet on this match

Casa Pia vs Benfica Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Casa PiaLast matchesBenfica

100%Over 0.5 goals100%

60%Over 1.5 goals100%

40%Over 2.5 goals80%

20%Over 3.5 goals80%

40%BTTS80%

40%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head Casa Pia — Benfica

In the last 8 meetings, Benfica hold the edge — 1 wins for Casa Pia, 4 for Benfica, 3 draws.

13% W — 138% D — 350% W — 4

Casa Pia0:7Benfica
Primeira Liga · 17 Aug 2026
Casa Pia1:1Benfica
Primeira Liga · 06 Apr 2026
Benfica2:2Casa Pia
Primeira Liga · 09 Nov 2025
Casa Pia3:1Benfica
Primeira Liga · 25 Jan 2025
Benfica3:0Casa Pia
Primeira Liga · 17 Aug 2024
Casa Pia0:1Benfica
Primeira Liga · 17 Mar 2024
Benfica1:1Casa Pia
Primeira Liga · 28 Oct 2023
Benfica3:0Casa Pia
Primeira Liga · 04 Feb 2023

100%Over 0.5100%

88%Over 1.588%

63%Over 2.563%

50%BTTS50%

50%Casa Pia over 0.5100%

Betting profits Casa Pia vs Benfica

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Casa Pia

Market	Outcome	P/L	Wins	Games
Match Winner	Win	-5.78	2	13
Match Winner	Draw	+3.14	4	13
Match Winner	Lose	+3.33	7	13
Goals Over/Under	Over 0.5	-1.73	3	5
Goals Over/Under	Under 0.5	+9.33	2	5
Goals Over/Under	Over 1.5	-3.70	6	12
Goals Over/Under	Under 1.5	+6.85	6	12
Goals Over/Under	Over 2	-3.80	6	12
Goals Over/Under	Under 2	+4.25	8	12
Goals Over/Under	Over 2.5	-4.67	4	13
Goals Over/Under	Under 2.5	+3.27	9	13
Goals Over/Under	Over 3.5	-1.92	3	13
Goals Over/Under	Under 3.5	-0.05	10	13
Goals Over/Under	Over 3	-3.75	2	7
Goals Over/Under	Under 3	+2.10	6	7
Goals Over/Under	Over 4.5	-6.00	0	6
Goals Over/Under	Under 4.5	+0.80	6	6
Goals Over/Under	Over 1	+0.02	1	1
Goals Over/Under	Under 1	-1.00	0	1
Goals Over/Under	Over 4	-1.00	0	1
Goals Over/Under	Under 4	+0.07	1	1
Both Teams Score	Yes	-0.02	1	2
Both Teams Score	No	-0.11	1	2

Benfica

Market	Outcome	P/L	Wins	Games
Match Winner	Win	-2.68	8	15
Match Winner	Draw	+16.79	5	15
Match Winner	Lose	-4.49	2	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 1.5	+1.52	9	9
Goals Over/Under	Under 1.5	-9.00	0	9
Goals Over/Under	Over 2.5	+1.32	10	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 2.5	-3.54	4	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 3	+1.32	11	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 3	-3.67	7	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 3.5	+1.96	8	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 3.5	-4.03	7	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 4.5	+0.14	4	12
Goals Over/Under	Under 4.5	-1.99	8	12
Goals Over/Under	Over 4	+1.93	5	7
Goals Over/Under	Under 4	-2.18	4	7
Goals Over/Under	Over 2	+0.72	3	3
Goals Over/Under	Under 2	-2.00	1	3

Match statistics

3636%Possession %64%64

0.124%Expected goals96%3.04

313%Total shots87%20

00%Shots on target100%8

343%Shots off target57%4

125%Corners75%3

1146%Fouls54%13

3100%Yellow cards0%0

1100%Red cards0%0

34236%Passes64%621

27233%Accurate passes67%556

2100%Saves0%0

120%Offsides80%4

Key events

3'
G. PrestianniGoal
Benfica
14'
RafaGoal
Benfica
47'
V. PavlidisGoal · assist Rafa
Benfica
49'
V. PavlidisGoal
Benfica
54'
V. PavlidisGoal · assist L. Barreiro
Benfica
58'
L. OforiOwn goal
Benfica
59'
Tomás Araújo → ManuSubstitution
Benfica
59'
V. Pavlidis → J. DuránSubstitution
Benfica
59'
André Gomes → Daniel AzevedoSubstitution
Casa Pia
59'
K. Prieto → K. OsundinaSubstitution
Casa Pia
60'
Rafa → A. SchjelderupSubstitution
Benfica
61'
J. DuránGoal
Benfica
62'
S. PérezYellow card
Casa Pia
63'
S. Pérez → SilviSubstitution
Casa Pia
67'
E. Barrenechea → R. RiosSubstitution
Benfica
76'
Henrique Araújo → Pedro RosasSubstitution
Casa Pia
76'
Rochinha → KalySubstitution
Casa Pia
78'
H. Sudakov → D. LukebakioSubstitution
Benfica
79'
KalyYellow card
Casa Pia
90+2'
KalyYellow card
Casa Pia
90+2'
KalyRed card
Casa Pia

Last matches Casa Pia

In the last 5 matches Casa Pia have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

40% W — 20% D — 060% L — 3

Maritimo1:0Casa Pia
LPrimeira Liga · 08 Aug 2026
Leixoes6:2Casa Pia
LFriendlies Clubs · 01 Aug 2026
Benfica B1:0Casa Pia
LFriendlies Clubs · 25 Jul 2026
Estrela1:2Casa Pia
WFriendlies Clubs · 18 Jul 2026
Casa Pia2:0Torreense
WPrimeira Liga · 28 May 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches: 5
Wins: 2
Draws: 0
Losses: 3
Goals / game: 1.2
Over 1.5: 60%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 40%

Last matches Benfica

Benfica are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 3.8 goals per game.

60% W — 340% D — 20% L — 0

Heart Of Midlothian1:1Benfica
DUEFA Europa League · 13 Aug 2026
Benfica2:2Academico Viseu
DPrimeira Liga · 09 Aug 2026
Benfica6:1Heart Of Midlothian
WUEFA Europa League · 06 Aug 2026
Benfica5:0FC ST. Gallen
WUEFA Europa League · 30 Jul 2026
Benfica5:1CF Os Belenenses
WFriendlies Clubs · 24 Jul 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches: 5
Wins: 3
Draws: 2
Losses: 0
Goals / game: 3.8
Over 1.5: 100%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 80%

Casa Pia vs Benfica Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	Diff	Pts
1	Arouca	2	2	0	0	5-0	5	6
2	FC Porto	2	2	0	0	4-0	4	6
3	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	3-1	2	6
4	Benfica	2	1	1	0	9-2	7	4
5	Nacional	2	1	1	0	4-2	2	4
6	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	3-2	1	4
7	Sporting CP	2	1	1	0	5-4	1	4
8	GIL Vicente	1	1	0	0	1-0	1	3
9	Estrela	2	0	2	0	4-4	0	2
10	SC Braga	1	0	1	0	2-2	0	1
11	Academico Viseu	2	0	1	1	2-3	-1	1
12	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	2-3	-1	1
13	Estoril	2	0	1	1	1-3	-2	1
14	Alverca	2	0	1	1	2-4	-2	1
15	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	2-6	-4	1
16	Vitória SC	2	0	0	2	2-4	-2	0
17	Rio Ave	2	0	0	2	0-3	-3	0
18	Casa Pia	2	0	0	2	0-8	-8	0