Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 6

Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction

1 : 4FTPortugal
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 11 Sept 2026Updated: 12 Sept 2026, 20:05

Match preview

Casa Pia host Primeira Liga leaders FC Porto in a clash between two sides experiencing completely contrasting starts to the domestic campaign. The home side currently sits at the bottom of the standings with a single point from five matches, plagued by severe problems in attack and regular defensive mistakes under pressure. In contrast, FC Porto have enjoyed a flawless start to the season under head coach Francesco Farioli, sitting alone at the top of the league table with maximum points. Given the massive gulf in form and tactical organization, the visitors are heavily favored to control the game and secure all three points.

Form and H2H

Casa Pia enter this match in deep trouble, having scored zero goals across five league games while allowing 11 goals in return. Their only positive result was a goalless draw in their previous fixture, with four defeats making up the rest of their league record. Porto, on the other hand, boast a perfect record of five wins from five matches, with an overall goal difference of 11:1. Their defense is currently the most reliable in the division, having conceded just once all season. Historical head-to-head results also tell a clear story, as Porto have dominated this matchup with successive multi-goal victories, including a comfortable 4-0 win in their most recent meeting.

Best Bet

Given Casa Pia's inability to generate offensive threat and Porto's disciplined defensive

Casa Pia vs FC Porto Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Casa Pia vs FC Porto

Date and time 12 September 2026 at 20:00

1X22
BTTSNo10%

Competitive fixture

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Casa Pia vs FC Porto Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Casa PiaCasa PiaLast matchesFC PortoFC Porto
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
40%Over 1.5 goals100%
20%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Over 3.5 goals0%
0%BTTS20%
0%Last 5 BTTS20%

Head to Head Casa PiaFC Porto

In the last 8 meetings, FC Porto hold the edge — 1 wins for Casa Pia, 7 for FC Porto, 0 draws.

13% W10% D — 088% W7
  • Casa Pia1:4FC Porto
    Primeira Liga · 12 Sept 2026
  • Casa Pia2:1FC Porto
    Primeira Liga · 02 Feb 2026
  • FC Porto4:0Casa Pia
    Primeira Liga · 24 Aug 2025
  • Casa Pia0:1FC Porto
    Primeira Liga · 12 Apr 2025
  • FC Porto2:0Casa Pia
    Primeira Liga · 02 Dec 2024
  • Casa Pia1:2FC Porto
    Primeira Liga · 21 Apr 2024
  • FC Porto3:1Casa Pia
    Primeira Liga · 09 Dec 2023
  • FC Porto2:1Casa Pia
    Primeira Liga · 14 May 2023
100%Over 0.5100%
88%Over 1.588%
75%Over 2.575%
63%BTTS63%
63%Casa Pia over 0.5100%

Betting profits Casa Pia vs FC Porto

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Casa Pia

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-5.78213
Match WinnerDraw-1.83313
Match WinnerLose+4.36813
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-5.06512
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+10.50712
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-6.20512
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+8.041012
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-7.73313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+4.161013
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-2.8538
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.4468
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-8.00213
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.821113
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.8217
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.3567
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.7334
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+3.4614
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.0211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.0711
Both Teams ScoreYes+0.9811
Both Teams ScoreNo-1.0001

FC Porto

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+0.771114
Match WinnerDraw-10.89114
Match WinnerLose-2.88214
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-2.18812
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+5.57412
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-5.52514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+6.05914
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-7.93514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+5.811314
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-11.37114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+4.931314
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-12.00012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+2.111212
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.2646
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.2846
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.6922

Match statistics

3838%Possession %62%62
1547%Total shots53%17
556%Shots on target44%4
754%Shots off target46%6
533%Corners67%10
1357%Fouls43%10
480%Yellow cards20%1
00%Red cards0%0
24238%Passes62%402
16333%Accurate passes67%328
00%Saves100%4
00%Offsides100%1

Key events

Casa PiaLast matches Casa Pia

Casa Pia have not won in the last 5 matches (1 draws, 4 losses).

0% W020% D — 180% L4
  • Vitória SC0:0Casa Pia
    DPrimeira Liga · 06 Sept 2026
  • Casa Pia0:1Moreirense
    LPrimeira Liga · 30 Aug 2026
  • GIL Vicente2:0Casa Pia
    LPrimeira Liga · 24 Aug 2026
  • Casa Pia0:7Benfica
    LPrimeira Liga · 17 Aug 2026
  • Maritimo1:0Casa Pia
    LPrimeira Liga · 08 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
4
Goals / game
0.0
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
0%

FC PortoLast matches FC Porto

FC Porto are in a strong run: 4 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.8 goals per game.

80% W40% D — 020% L1
  • FC Porto0:2Manchester City
    LUEFA Champions League · 08 Sept 2026
  • FC Porto2:1Moreirense
    WPrimeira Liga · 04 Sept 2026
  • Academico Viseu0:3FC Porto
    WPrimeira Liga · 29 Aug 2026
  • FC Porto2:0Arouca
    WPrimeira Liga · 23 Aug 2026
  • Rio Ave0:2FC Porto
    WPrimeira Liga · 15 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
20%

Casa Pia vs FC Porto Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FC PortoFC Porto550011-11015
2BenficaBenfica541018-31513
3Sporting CPSporting CP541014-5913
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara53209-3611
5AroucaArouca53117-3410
6EstrelaEstrela523011-929
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente42113-127
8SC BragaSC Braga42116-517
9MaritimoMaritimo52126-8-27
10Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu51225-8-35
11AlvercaAlverca61238-11-35
12Vitória SCVitória SC51133-5-24
13NacionalNacional61147-11-44
14MoreirenseMoreirense51134-12-84
15FamalicaoFamalicao50324-6-23
16Rio AveRio Ave51042-11-93
17EstorilEstoril50232-7-52
18Casa PiaCasa Pia50140-11-111
League position 18 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 1 / 18
00%Wins100%5
120%Draws0%0
480%Losses20%1
00%Goals scored100%11
11100%Goals conceded9%1
17%Points100%15

Season statistic Casa Pia vs FC Porto

Casa PiaCasa Pia

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 2 / 2
  • Goals scored 0 (0.0)
  • Goals conceded 11 (2.2)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 5

FC PortoFC Porto

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 2
  • Lost home / away 1 / 0
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 3 (0.6)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

Casa PiaCasa Pia

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

FC PortoFC Porto

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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