CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula Prediction

CSKA Moscow host Arsenal Tula on 4 October 2026 at 15:00 in a friendly during the international break. Moscow's squad is severely depleted: Silyanov, Djikia, Montes, and potentially Nyamsi and Fassons are unavailable through national team duty or injury. The defensive core is compromised. Arsenal Tula, by contrast, loses only Reyes, Brnovic, and Plotnikov to international commitments. New manager Dmitry Alenichev took charge on 21 September and will use this match to test his ideas before Arsenal's official return against Spartak Kostroma on 9 October.

Form and H2H

CSKA Moscow sit 14th in the Russian Premier League with 7 points from 9 matches—their worst start in club history. The departures of Batrakov and Vorobyov stripped attacking depth, and Karpukas's move to Zenit destabilized the midfield. Arsenal Tula have 13 points from 12 matches and are winless in five games under previous manager Gunko. Head-to-head favors Arsenal: they won 1-0 in October 2017 and 1-0 in December 2019, though CSKA won 6-0 in May 2018 and 3-0 in August 2018.

Best bet

Arsenal Tula not to lose. CSKA Moscow will field a makeshift defense with Nenakhov shifted to centre-back and young Belotelov at right-back if Nyamsi and Fassons cannot play. Arsenal have Rashid Magommedov in form—he scored in his last two matches—and will field a near-full squad. The new manager effect typically lifts morale and competition for places. At 22Bet, Arsenal not to lose is priced at 3.97.

Odds to watch

CSKA Moscow's home record shows mixed results: four wins, three draws, and three losses in their last ten matches at this ground. Arsenal's away form is poor—two wins, four draws, and four losses in ten—but the personnel advantage and tactical reset under Alenichev shift the balance. A home win at 22Bet sits at 1.58, while the draw is 3.97. Given CSKA's defensive vulnerabilities and Arsenal's attacking options, the draw offers value if you expect a cautious opening from the visitors.