Championship · Regular Season - 7

Derby vs Birmingham Prediction

- : -12 September 2026 at 14:30England
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 11 Sept 2026Updated: 12 Sept 2026, 04:00

Match preview

Derby County welcome Birmingham City to Pride Park for an important Championship Matchday 7 clash. The Rams have endured a slow start to the campaign, sitting in 22nd place with four points from six games. Defensive instability and vulnerability on set-pieces have proven problematic for the hosts, who typically adopt a physical, direct style relying on direct service into the penalty area. Birmingham City enter the contest in 15th position with seven points. The Blues lean on a pragmatic mid-block, patient build-up, and swift flank progression, aiming to catch opponents on the counter. With Derby desperate to kickstart their season at home, tactical gaps should allow for an energetic and open encounter.

Form and H2H

Derby's recent home output features two wins, two draws, and six defeats across their last ten matches, averaging roughly 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 goals conceded per game. Birmingham's away form over the same ten-game stretch reflects three wins, five draws, and two losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Historical head-to-head encounters between these sides have traditionally produced plenty of goalmouth action, including multi-goal thrillers such as 3-3, 3-2, and 2-2 results in past league meetings.

Best bet

Considering Derby's defensive leaks alongside Birmingham's solid goalscoring return on the road, the match carries strong potential for goals. The main selection for this fixture is Total Over 2 goals. Betting should strictly be treated as 18+ entertainment rather than a financial strategy, so always gamble responsibly.

Odds to watch

In addition to the main goal line, secondary markets such as Both Teams to Score and Team Total Over 0.5 for the visitors offer relevant avenues to monitor, reflecting both teams' tendencies to yield defensive chances. Check licensed operators for available lines prior to kickoff.

Derby vs Birmingham Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
22Bet3.63.242.08Place a bet
Best odds3.603.242.08
Average3.603.242.08
Lowest odds3.603.242.08
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Derby vs Birmingham

Date and time 12 September 2026 at 14:30

1X222.08
BTTSYes60%

Competitive fixture

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Derby vs Birmingham Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

DerbyDerbyLast matchesBirminghamBirmingham
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals100%
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
20%Over 3.5 goals40%
20%BTTS100%
20%Last 5 BTTS100%

Head to Head DerbyBirmingham

In the last 8 meetings, Derby hold the edge — 4 wins for Derby, 2 for Birmingham, 2 draws.

50% W425% D — 225% W2
  • Derby1:0Birmingham
    Championship · 21 Mar 2026
  • Birmingham1:1Derby
    Championship · 26 Dec 2025
  • Derby2:2Birmingham
    Championship · 30 Jan 2022
  • Birmingham2:0Derby
    Championship · 10 Sept 2021
  • Derby1:2Birmingham
    Championship · 24 Apr 2021
  • Birmingham0:4Derby
    Championship · 29 Dec 2020
  • Birmingham1:3Derby
    Championship · 22 Jul 2020
  • Derby3:2Birmingham
    Championship · 28 Sept 2019
100%Over 0.5100%
88%Over 1.588%
63%Over 2.563%
63%BTTS63%
88%Derby over 0.575%

Betting profits Derby vs Birmingham

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Derby

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-4.32313
Match WinnerDraw-6.09213
Match WinnerLose+9.50813
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.3089
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.4519
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.3679
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.5949
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+2.98812
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-4.45412
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.42712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.51812
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.26413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.20913
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.8419
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.6789
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.5522

Birmingham

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-1.31715
Match WinnerDraw+7.02615
Match WinnerLose-11.19215
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.23810
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-2.56210
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.381013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-2.20513
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+2.611015
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-4.93515
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.191015
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.101015
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-0.93515
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.921015
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-4.49110
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.24910
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.3722

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

DerbyLast matches Derby

In the last 5 matches Derby have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

20% W120% D — 160% L3
  • Derby0:1West Brom
    LChampionship · 09 Sept 2026
  • West Ham3:0Derby
    LChampionship · 05 Sept 2026
  • Portsmouth0:2Derby
    WChampionship · 01 Sept 2026
  • Derby0:3Swansea
    LChampionship · 29 Aug 2026
  • Derby2:2Cardiff
    DChampionship · 22 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
20%

BirminghamLast matches Birmingham

In the last 5 matches Birmingham have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 100% of those games.

20% W140% D — 240% L2
  • Norwich2:1Birmingham
    LChampionship · 09 Sept 2026
  • Birmingham2:2Wolves
    DChampionship · 06 Sept 2026
  • Birmingham1:1Southampton
    DChampionship · 01 Sept 2026
  • Wrexham1:2Birmingham
    WChampionship · 28 Aug 2026
  • Birmingham1:6Brentford
    LLeague Cup · 25 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
100%

Derby vs Birmingham Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1West BromWest Brom64119-6313
2West HamWest Ham632114-9511
3SwanseaSwansea63218-4411
4QPRQPR63217-4311
5CharltonCharlton63216-7-111
6MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough53118-5310
7Bristol CityBristol City53119-7210
8MillwallMillwall530210-829
9NorwichNorwich630310-919
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd62318-809
11WolvesWolves522113-1038
12WatfordWatford62226-7-18
13SouthamptonSouthampton632114-777
14WrexhamWrexham61417-527
15BirminghamBirmingham61418-807
16Stoke CityStoke City62139-10-17
17PortsmouthPortsmouth52037-8-16
18BlackburnBlackburn61237-9-25
19LincolnLincoln51224-6-25
20CardiffCardiff60427-10-34
21BoltonBolton61146-12-64
22DerbyDerby61145-11-64
23BurnleyBurnley60337-13-63
24PrestonPreston61056-12-63
League position 22 / 24Comparative team statisticsLeague position 15 / 24
117%Wins17%1
117%Draws67%4
467%Losses17%1
563%Goals scored100%8
11100%Goals conceded73%8
457%Points100%7

Season statistic Derby vs Birmingham

DerbyDerby

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 2 / 1
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 9 (1.8)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 3

BirminghamBirmingham

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 12 (2.4)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Pride Park, Derby

Lineups

DerbyDerby

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

BirminghamBirmingham

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

DerbyDerby

  • R. BrewsterUnavailable. Injury
  • C. MorrisUnavailable. Calf Injury
  • C. ForsythUnavailable. Knee Injury
  • L. TravisUnavailable. Leg Injury
  • M. ClarkeUnavailable. Calf Injury
  • D. MurkinUnavailable. Hamstring Injury
  • F. BilbijaUnavailable. Inactive
  • P. AgyemangUnavailable. Achilles Tendon Injury

BirminghamBirmingham

  • D. GrayUnavailable. Injury
  • M. BirdUnavailable. Inactive
  • M. LeonardUnavailable. Achilles Tendon Injury
  • T. Gardner-HickmanUnavailable. Injury
  • J. SolisUnavailable. Inactive

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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