J1 League · Regular Season - 6

Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction

AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 05 Sept 2026Updated: 09 Sept 2026, 10:05

Match preview

Fagiano Okayama hosts Sanfrecce Hiroshima on September 6 in a J1 League encounter between contrasting form lines. The home side sits 13th in the standings and has struggled for consistency, alternating wins with defeats. A recent 2-1 victory over Kashiwa temporarily halted their instability, but defensive vulnerabilities persist—five goals conceded in their last six matches. Hiroshima, conversely, occupy fourth place and have established themselves as genuine title contenders. The visitors arrive in excellent form with four wins in their last six outings and just three goals conceded across that span, including a commanding 3-0 demolition of Nagoya three days ago.

Form and H2H

Okayama's home record shows four wins, one draw, and five losses in their last ten matches, averaging 1.18 goals for and 1.35 against. Hiroshima's away form is substantially stronger: seven wins, two draws, and one loss over the same period, with an average of 2.38 goals scored and just 0.84 conceded. The head-to-head record is mixed. Okayama won both fixtures last season (1-0 in May and April), but Hiroshima claimed a 1-0 victory on the road earlier this campaign. Their most recent meeting ended 1-1. Hiroshima have avoided defeat in two of their last four direct encounters.

Best Bet

Hiroshima's defensive solidity and attacking prowess, combined with Okayama's inconsistency at home, suggest the visitors will not lose. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 17 of Okayama's last 20 matches and 15 of Hiroshima's last 20 games, indicating a likely entertaining contest. Given the form disparity and Hiroshima's proven ability to grind out results, backing them to avoid defeat represents the most honest assessment of this fixture.

Odds to Watch

No partner odds are currently available for this match. Bettors are encouraged to monitor live pricing as kickoff approaches to identify value opportunities across the major markets, particularly focusing on Hiroshima's unbeaten outcome and the over 1.5 goals line given both teams' recent scoring patterns.

Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date and time 6 September 2026 at 12:00

1X22
BTTSYes50%

Competitive fixture

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Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Fagiano OkayamaFagiano OkayamaLast matchesSanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce H.
80%Over 0.5 goals80%
60%Over 1.5 goals80%
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
0%Over 3.5 goals40%
40%BTTS60%
40%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce Hiroshima

In the last 4 meetings, Fagiano Okayama hold the edge — 2 wins for Fagiano Okayama, 1 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 1 draws.

50% W225% D — 125% W1
  • Fagiano Okayama1:0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    J1 League · 02 May 2026
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima1:1Fagiano Okayama
    J1 League · 14 Feb 2026
  • Fagiano Okayama0:1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    J1 League · 05 Jul 2025
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima0:1Fagiano Okayama
    J1 League · 12 Apr 2025
100%Over 0.5100%
25%Over 1.525%
0%Over 2.50%
25%BTTS25%
75%Fagiano Okayama over 0.550%

Betting profits Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce H.

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Fagiano Okayama

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.64411
Match WinnerDraw-7.75111
Match WinnerLose+2.07611
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.0268
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-1.8728
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.1979
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-2.3949
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.47510
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-0.72510
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-6.01212
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+2.701012
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.2058
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.9268
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+0.5016
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.0156
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+1.6333
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+6.2611

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+3.05811
Match WinnerDraw+1.71311
Match WinnerLose-11.00011
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.4279
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+0.8129
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.2344
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-3.0014
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.01610
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-0.68410
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.34711
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.66611
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+2.05511
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.69611
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+3.77310
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.57710
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+1.4411
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0001

Match statistics

2323%Possession %77%77
1033%Total shots67%20
542%Shots on target58%7
425%Shots off target75%12
220%Corners80%8
1464%Fouls36%8
1100%Yellow cards0%0
1100%Red cards0%0
24023%Passes77%790
15418%Accurate passes82%706
571%Saves29%2
233%Offsides67%4

Key events

Fagiano OkayamaLast matches Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W320% D — 120% L1
  • JEF United Chiba1:2Fagiano Okayama
    WJ1 League · 02 Sept 2026
  • Nagoya Grampus2:1Fagiano Okayama
    LJ1 League · 29 Aug 2026
  • Fagiano Okayama3:0Beluga Rosso Iwami
    WEmperor Cup · 26 Aug 2026
  • Fagiano Okayama0:0Tokyo Verdy
    DJ1 League · 22 Aug 2026
  • Fagiano Okayama1:0V-varen Nagasaki
    WJ1 League · 15 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
40%

Sanfrecce HiroshimaLast matches Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.4 goals per game.

60% W340% D — 20% L0
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima3:0Nagoya Grampus
    WJ1 League · 02 Sept 2026
  • Gamba Osaka0:0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    DJ1 League · 29 Aug 2026
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima4:1Okinawa SV
    WEmperor Cup · 26 Aug 2026
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima1:1Kawasaki Frontale
    DJ1 League · 22 Aug 2026
  • Urawa1:4Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    WJ1 League · 15 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals / game
2.4
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia541015-41113
2Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol540110-6412
3KashimaKashima540113-10312
4Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima532011-2911
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe53116-3310
6Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka53025-509
7Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock522110-738
8FC TokyoFC Tokyo52219-818
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos52128-807
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama52125-507
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale51319-816
12Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka51318-9-16
13Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus52036-8-26
14UrawaUrawa520311-15-46
15Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga51227-9-25
16Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse51132-4-24
17V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki51136-11-54
18Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka51048-9-13
19Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy50232-8-62
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba50053-15-120
League position 10 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 4 / 20
240%Wins60%3
120%Draws40%2
240%Losses0%0
545%Goals scored100%11
5100%Goals conceded40%2
764%Points100%11

Season statistic Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 3 (0.6)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 1

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce H.

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 12 (2.4)
  • Goals conceded 3 (0.6)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue City Light Stadium, Okayama

Lineups

Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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