Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 27

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

1 : 2FTBrazil
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 12 Sept 2026Updated: 12 Sept 2026, 21:03

Match preview

Gremio host Vasco da Gama in Serie A as both teams look to secure crucial points in the league standings. Gremio have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, registering just two wins across their last six fixtures. Defensive lapses have hampered their progress, with seven goals conceded during that period. Despite an impressive attacking burst led by Carlos Vinicius in consecutive 3-1 victories over Chapecoense and Internacional, recent setbacks against Bragantino and Vitoria have highlighted ongoing vulnerabilities that the hosts must address.

Form and H2H

The statistical profile of both teams shows closely matched recent trajectories. Over their last ten matches, Gremio have logged four wins, two draws, and four losses, maintaining an even goal average of approximately 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Vasco da Gama arrive with a slightly more resilient record of four wins, three draws, and three losses in their past ten matches, averaging 1.10 goals scored per fixture. Historical head-to-head encounters have consistently been tightly fought affairs, giving the visitors confidence on this trip.

Best Bet

Considering Gremio's recent defensive inconsistency and Vasco da Gama's steady form, the visitors are well-positioned to take something from this encounter. The main pick for this match is Vasco da Gama to not lose (Double Chance X2). Please gamble responsibly; sports betting is strictly a form of entertainment intended for individuals aged 18 and older.

Odds to Watch

Bettors looking for options across licensed platforms like Melbet, 1xBet, 1Win, Mostbet, and 22Bet should closely follow the Double Chance market on Vasco da Gama or Draw. Additionally, Total Goals markets such as Under 2.5 remain relevant given the recent scoring averages of both clubs. Always consult your chosen sportsbook for real-time odds updates ahead of kickoff.

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
22Bet3.63.312.16Place a bet
Best odds3.603.312.16
Average3.603.312.16
Lowest odds3.603.312.16
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama

Date and time 12 September 2026 at 22:00

1X222.1644%
DCX/273%
BTTSNo30%
1 27%X 29%2 44%

Vasco DA Gama to win

Place a bet on this match

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

GremioGremioLast matchesVasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
80%Over 0.5 goals80%
40%Over 1.5 goals40%
40%Over 2.5 goals20%
40%Over 3.5 goals20%
40%BTTS20%
40%Last 5 BTTS20%

Head to Head GremioVasco DA Gama

In the last 8 meetings, Vasco DA Gama hold the edge — 3 wins for Gremio, 4 for Vasco DA Gama, 1 draws.

38% W313% D — 150% W4
  • Gremio1:2Vasco DA Gama
    Serie A · 12 Sept 2026
  • Vasco DA Gama2:1Gremio
    Serie A · 22 Mar 2026
  • Gremio2:0Vasco DA Gama
    Serie A · 20 Nov 2025
  • Vasco DA Gama1:1Gremio
    Serie A · 19 Jul 2025
  • Gremio1:0Vasco DA Gama
    Serie A · 28 Jul 2024
  • Vasco DA Gama2:1Gremio
    Serie A · 14 Apr 2024
  • Gremio1:0Vasco DA Gama
    Serie A · 03 Dec 2023
  • Vasco DA Gama1:0Gremio
    Serie A · 06 Aug 2023
100%Over 0.5100%
63%Over 1.563%
38%Over 2.538%
50%BTTS50%
88%Gremio over 0.563%

Betting profits Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Gremio

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-3.86413
Match WinnerDraw-3.06313
Match WinnerLose+6.78613
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-2.15813
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+4.39513
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.59812
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-0.28612
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.34613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-0.27713
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.20313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.051013
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+0.0336
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.1546
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-0.9617
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.2167
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.7034
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+3.1814

Vasco DA Gama

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+0.32615
Match WinnerDraw+4.51615
Match WinnerLose-6.84315
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-4.01815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+6.42715
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-3.23815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+3.15915
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.82615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+0.19915
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+5.20515
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-2.441015
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.3837
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.1357
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-0.1517
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.3367
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.9012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+3.6512

Match statistics

5151%Possession %49%49
1343%Total shots57%17
550%Shots on target50%5
550%Shots off target50%5
125%Big chances75%3
338%Corners63%5
1042%Fouls58%14
350%Yellow cards50%3
00%Red cards0%0
47651%Passes49%462
39050%Accurate passes50%387
343%Saves57%4
00%Offsides100%1

Key events

GremioLast matches Gremio

In the last 5 matches Gremio have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

40% W220% D — 140% L2
  • Vitoria1:0Gremio
    LSerie A · 07 Sept 2026
  • Gremio3:1Internacional
    WCopa Do Brasil · 03 Sept 2026
  • Gremio3:1Chapecoense-sc
    WSerie A · 30 Aug 2026
  • Internacional0:0Gremio
    DCopa Do Brasil · 27 Aug 2026
  • RB Bragantino1:0Gremio
    LSerie A · 23 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

Vasco DA GamaLast matches Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.2 goals per game.

60% W320% D — 120% L1
  • Santa Fe0:0Vasco DA Gama
    DCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 08 Sept 2026
  • Fluminense1:0Vasco DA Gama
    LSerie A · 06 Sept 2026
  • Vitoria0:2Vasco DA Gama
    WCopa Do Brasil · 03 Sept 2026
  • Vasco DA Gama3:1Cruzeiro
    WSerie A · 30 Aug 2026
  • Vasco DA Gama1:0Vitoria
    WCopa Do Brasil · 27 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
20%

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FlamengoFlamengo26166451-213054
2PalmeirasPalmeiras26158345-212453
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741-311046
4FluminenseFluminense26129540-32845
5BahiaBahia261110540-32843
6CruzeiroCruzeiro26126838-37142
7CoritibaCoritiba27108937-38-138
8Atletico-MGAtletico-MG25106932-30236
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino251051031-28335
10Sao PauloSao Paulo25961031-28333
11VitoriaVitoria26951225-37-1232
12CorinthiansCorinthians26881027-27032
13SantosSantos2588937-38-132
14BotafogoBotafogo25871037-40-331
15GremioGremio25771127-33-628
16MirassolMirassol26771229-40-1128
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama25671227-40-1325
18InternacionalInternacional265101128-34-625
19remoremo26581330-43-1323
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc25381427-50-2317
League position 15 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 17 / 20
728%Wins24%6
728%Draws28%7
1144%Losses48%12
27100%Goals scored100%27
3383%Goals conceded100%40
28100%Points89%25

Season statistic Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama

GremioGremio

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 6 (1.2)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 3

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 6 (1.2)
  • Goals conceded 2 (0.4)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 2

Match details

  • Status Finished

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

GremioGremio

  • F. AmuzuUnavailable. Inactive
  • Jovane CabralUnavailable. Muscle Injury
  • C. PavónUnavailable. Yellow Cards
  • DodiUnavailable. Knee Injury

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama

  • JairUnavailable. Muscle Injury
  • BrennerUnavailable. Knee Injury
  • Mateus CocãoUnavailable. Knee Injury
  • AdsonUnavailable. Injury
  • CuiabanoUnavailable. Muscle Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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