Groningen vs Ajax Prediction

Groningen host Ajax on 18 October 2026 at 17:45 in a fixture that pits two sides in contrasting form. The hosts have won five of their last ten matches and average 2.1 goals per game at home, with striker Thom van Bergen contributing five goals this season. Ajax arrive unbeaten in their last four league outings but have drawn twice recently against Excelsior and NEC Nijmegen. The visitors average 2.99 goals per game away from home, though injuries to Steven Berghuis, Daley Blind, Caio Henrique and Kasper Dolberg will test their depth. Both teams favour attacking football, and their head-to-head record shows a pattern of competitive matches with mixed results.

Form and H2H

Groningen's last ten matches show five wins, three draws and two losses, with an average of 2.11 goals for and 1.40 against. Ajax's away record over the same period reads five wins, three draws and two losses, scoring 2.99 goals per game and conceding 1.70. In their six meetings since 2011, the sides have split honours: Ajax won three, Groningen won one and two ended level. The most recent encounter in 2013 finished 1-1 at Euroborg. Groningen's home record against draws has cost bettors 2.28 units, while Ajax's away record shows a profit of 11.07 units on draw selections.

Best bet

The main prediction is Groningen 2-2 Ajax. Both teams possess the attacking firepower to score multiple goals, and Ajax's recent defensive vulnerabilities combined with Groningen's home threat make a high-scoring draw plausible. At 1xBet, the draw is priced at 4.17, offering value for a match that could easily see both sides find the net and share the spoils.

Odds to watch

Over 2.5 goals is the secondary angle here. Groningen average 2.1 goals at home while Ajax average 2.99 away, and both teams have shown consistent attacking intent. The draw at 1Win sits at 4.14 if you prefer the exact scoreline. For those seeking a tighter market, Over 1.5 goals carries minimal risk given the attacking profiles of both squads.