Groningen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Groningen host PEC Zwolle on 18 September 2026 at 21:00 in the Eredivisie. The pick is Groningen 2–1 Zwolle. Groningen have won three of their last ten matches at home, conceding 1.90 goals per game. Zwolle arrive in poor form, winning just twice in ten away outings while shipping 2.61 goals per match. The visitors' defensive fragility makes them vulnerable to Groningen's home advantage.

Form and H2H

Groningen's last-ten record shows three wins, three draws, and four losses at home, averaging 1.40 goals for and 1.90 against. Zwolle have managed only two wins, one draw, and seven losses away, scoring 1.10 per game and conceding 2.61. Head-to-head since 2013 favours Groningen slightly: they have won two of six meetings, drawn one, and lost three. Groningen won 3–1 at Zwolle in January 2016 and 2–0 at home in October 2015.

Best Bet

Groningen to win. The home side's recent form and Zwolle's away record point to a Groningen victory. Zwolle have conceded 2.61 goals per away match this season, a weakness Groningen can exploit in front of their own crowd.

Odds to Watch

Over 1.5 goals is the key market. Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent fixtures, and Groningen's home advantage combined with Zwolle's defensive struggles suggests a match with multiple goals. Over 2.5 goals is also worth monitoring given the expected flow of play and the visitors' vulnerability at the back.