Latvia vs Cyprus Prediction

Latvia host Cyprus in a UEFA Nations League fixture on 28 September 2026 at 19:00. The prediction is a 1-1 draw, a result that mirrors their last meeting in March 2024 when these teams played out an identical stalemate. Latvia's home record in their last ten matches shows two wins, three draws, and five losses, with an average of 0.51 goals for and 1.33 against. Cyprus arrive with three wins, three draws, and four losses away from home over the same span, averaging 1.61 goals scored and 1.55 conceded.

Form and H2H

Latvia's recent home form is fragile. They have won just twice in ten matches at this venue while conceding 1.33 goals per game on average. Cyprus, by contrast, have been more productive on their travels, winning three of their last ten away games and scoring 1.61 goals per outing. The direct history between these sides points toward a tight contest. Their March 2024 meeting ended 1-1, and both teams have shown a tendency to draw in head-to-head play. Latvia's profit trend on the draw stands at 3.82, while Cyprus show a draw profit of 2.45, suggesting backing the stalemate has been profitable for bettors historically.

Best Bet

The draw at 3.22 with Melbet, 3.3 with 1xBet, or 3.01 with Mostbet offers value given the recent form of both sides and their direct history. Latvia's weak home record and Cyprus's solid away performances create conditions for a shared result. Both teams have shown they can score, but neither has the attacking consistency to pull clear.

Odds to Watch

Latvia's home win is priced at 2.66 with Melbet, 2.72 with 1xBet, and 2.61 with Mostbet. Cyprus's away win sits at 2.71 with Melbet, 2.77 with 1xBet, and 2.67 with Mostbet. The gap between home and away odds is minimal, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup. Both Teams to Score carries appeal given Cyprus's goal-scoring record on the road and Latvia's defensive vulnerabilities at home.