Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction

Ludogorets host Septemvri Sofia on 14 September 2026 at 20:30 in the First League. The home side sits second with 20 points from eight matches and a goal difference of 14:6. Ludogorets beat Lokomotiv Sofia 2-1 away in their last outing and drew 1-1 with both Spartak Varna and Slavia Sofia before that. Septemvri Sofia occupy ninth place with 8 points from eight games, goal difference 7:13. The visitors lost 2-3 to Botev Vratsa most recently but drew 1-1 with Slavia Sofia and won 1-0 against both CSKA and Spartak Varna earlier in the season.

Ludogorets have no injury concerns or suspensions. Septemvri Sofia will miss left-back Pedro Gomez through suspension and centre-back Stip Vukilich through injury, both significant absences in their defensive line.

Form and H2H

Ludogorets have won six of their last ten home matches, drawn three, and lost one, averaging 1.60 goals for and 1.00 against. Septemvri Sofia have won three of their last ten away matches, drawn two, and lost five, averaging 0.90 goals for and 1.50 against.

The head-to-head record strongly favours Ludogorets. In their five most recent meetings, Ludogorets won four times and drew once. The scoreline reads 3-0, 3-0, 3-1, 2-0, 0-0, and 5-0 across those fixtures. Ludogorets have scored at least two goals in four of the last five encounters.

Best Bet

Ludogorets win with handicap (-1.5). The home side's attacking output is consistent, and Septemvri Sofia's defensive vulnerabilities are compounded by the absence of two key players. Ludogorets regularly beat lower-table opponents by multiple goals at home. Back Ludogorets -1.5 at 1.23 with 1xBet or 1.24 with Melbet.

Odds to Watch

Ludogorets are priced at 1.23 (1xBet) or 1.24 (Melbet) for a straight home win. The draw sits at 5.5 with 1xBet and 5.6 with Melbet. Septemvri Sofia are available at 11.7 with 1xBet or 11.3 with Melbet for an away win. Over 2.5 goals is a market worth monitoring given both teams' recent output and Ludogorets' tendency to score heavily at home against weaker opposition.