Monza vs Sassuolo Prediction

Monza host Sassuolo on 18 September 2026 at 21:45 in Serie A's fifth round. The hosts remain winless in the league after four matches, sitting 18th with one point. Sassuolo arrive unbeaten in their last four games across all competitions, including a 3-2 victory over Juventus in their most recent fixture. Both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive fragility, setting up an open contest where goals should flow from both sides.

Monza's season has split sharply between competitions. They won both Coppa Italia matches against Avellino and Torino with clean sheets, but their league campaign has been chaotic. Defeats to Inter and Udinese, a 1-1 draw with Parma, and a 3-2 loss to Lecce have left them with 11 goals conceded in four games. The striking pattern: all four Serie A matches have seen both teams score. At home, Monza lost to Udinese but hold a stronger record against Sassuolo, with one win and three draws in their last four meetings. Those three draws were high-scoring affairs with goals from both sides.

Sassuolo's form contrasts sharply. After losing 2-1 to Atalanta in their league opener, they beat Torino, drew with Bologna, and then stunned Juventus 3-2 with a late winner. Their matches have been consistently open: both teams scored in their last five games, and five of their six outings this season produced over 2.5 goals. Away from home, however, Sassuolo have not won yet this season. In the head-to-head, Sassuolo have failed to beat Monza in five straight meetings, recording three defeats and two draws. Seven of their last nine encounters have seen both teams score.

Form and H2H

Monza's last ten games show four wins, two draws, and four losses, averaging 2.00 goals for and 2.00 against. Sassuolo's equivalent run produced three wins, three draws, and four losses, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per match. The home side's profit trend on the match winner stands at 4.31, while Sassuolo's away record shows minus 1.11 in that market. Over 1.5 goals at home has returned 2.43 in profit, though under 1.5 has lost 6.57.

Sassuolo's away form on the match winner is minus 4.64 on draws and minus 1.11 on wins. Their over 1.5 goals market has returned 0.96 in profit, while under 1.5 has lost 4.48. Both teams to score aligns with the recent pattern: Monza have seen it land in all four Serie A matches, and Sassuolo in five consecutive outings. The head-to-head record reinforces this trend, with seven of the last nine meetings producing goals from both sides.

Best Bet

Both Teams to Score - Yes. Monza have conceded in every league match this season despite their attacking output, while Sassuolo continue to leak goals despite their improved results. The head-to-head record shows seven of nine recent meetings with goals from both sides. Monza's desperation for a first league win should push them forward, and Sassuolo's attacking confidence after beating Juventus suggests they will create chances. At Melbet, a home win pays 3.03, a draw 3.42, and an away win 2.31.

Odds to Watch

The 1X2 market offers value across multiple operators. Monza's home record against Sassuolo and their attacking consistency in the league make the home win worth considering at 3.14 with 1xBet or 3.00 with Mostbet. A draw reflects the recent head-to-head pattern and Monza's league form; Mostbet price it at 3.41. Sassuolo's away struggles this season and their five-match unbeaten run create tension in the away win, priced at 2.40 with 1xBet. Both teams to score remains the strongest play given the defensive vulnerabilities on display from both sides.