Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 6

Nacional vs Alverca Prediction

1 : 3FTPortugal
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 11 Sept 2026Updated: 12 Sept 2026, 17:26

Match preview

Nacional prepare to host Alverca at the Madeira Stadium in Funchal for the sixth round of the Portuguese Primeira Liga. The home side currently sit in the lower half of the table with four points from five matches, having recorded one win, one draw, and three defeats. After an encouraging opening stretch that included a victory over Estoril, Nacional have suffered three consecutive league losses against Vitoria Guimaraes, Estrela Amadora, and Sporting. Nevertheless, home advantage remains crucial for the islanders, who have consistently created chances and scored at Madeira Stadium.

Form and H2H

Alverca have endured a difficult start to their top-flight campaign, sitting 16th in the relegation zone with just two points from five matches. The visitors remain winless this season, having conceded ten goals in five games, and are currently on an eight-match winless streak overall alongside five consecutive away defeats across all competitions. In overall head-to-head history, the sides have traded two home victories apiece across four meetings, with Nacional winning 1-0 in their last meeting in Madeira in April 2026. Across their last ten matches

Nacional vs Alverca Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Nacional vs Alverca

Date and time 12 September 2026 at 17:30

1X22
BTTSYes60%

Competitive fixture

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Nacional vs Alverca Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

NacionalNacionalLast matchesAlvercaAlverca
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals100%
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Over 3.5 goals40%
40%BTTS80%
40%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head NacionalAlverca

In the last 3 meetings, Alverca hold the edge — 1 wins for Nacional, 2 for Alverca, 0 draws.

33% W10% D — 067% W2
  • Nacional1:3Alverca
    Primeira Liga · 12 Sept 2026
  • Nacional1:0Alverca
    Primeira Liga · 18 Apr 2026
  • Alverca1:0Nacional
    Primeira Liga · 07 Dec 2025
100%Over 0.5100%
33%Over 1.533%
33%Over 2.533%
33%BTTS33%
67%Nacional over 0.567%

Betting profits Nacional vs Alverca

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Nacional

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.21410
Match WinnerDraw-6.85110
Match WinnerLose+4.71510
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.42810
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-2.38210
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.0779
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+0.8669
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-3.52310
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+4.69710
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-5.1929
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+3.6789
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-1.14210
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.48810
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-0.2018
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.2278
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.1211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.5411

Alverca

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-8.66111
Match WinnerDraw-1.22311
Match WinnerLose+2.39711
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.79710
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+2.95310
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.1247
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+2.5847
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.89411
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+3.40711
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-5.2239
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+3.0889
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-3.69210
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.04810
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-8.0008
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+1.3688
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.1211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-1.0001

Match statistics

5757%Possession %43%43
1357%Total shots43%10
330%Shots on target70%7
975%Shots off target25%3
2100%Corners0%0
730%Fouls70%16
00%Yellow cards100%3
00%Red cards0%0
47457%Passes43%358
39358%Accurate passes42%289
457%Saves43%3
00%Offsides100%1

Key events

NacionalLast matches Nacional

In the last 5 matches Nacional have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

20% W120% D — 160% L3
  • Sporting CP2:0Nacional
    LPrimeira Liga · 05 Sept 2026
  • Nacional2:3Estrela
    LPrimeira Liga · 30 Aug 2026
  • Vitória SC1:0Nacional
    LPrimeira Liga · 23 Aug 2026
  • Nacional2:0Estoril
    WPrimeira Liga · 16 Aug 2026
  • Santa Clara2:2Nacional
    DPrimeira Liga · 10 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

AlvercaLast matches Alverca

Alverca have not won in the last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).

0% W040% D — 260% L3
  • Alverca1:2SC Braga
    LPrimeira Liga · 05 Sept 2026
  • Alverca1:1Santa Clara
    DPrimeira Liga · 29 Aug 2026
  • Sporting CP3:1Alverca
    LPrimeira Liga · 22 Aug 2026
  • Alverca2:2Estrela
    DPrimeira Liga · 15 Aug 2026
  • FC Porto2:0Alverca
    LPrimeira Liga · 09 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
80%

Nacional vs Alverca Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FC PortoFC Porto550011-11015
2BenficaBenfica541018-31513
3Sporting CPSporting CP541014-5913
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara53209-3611
5AroucaArouca53117-3410
6EstrelaEstrela523011-929
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente42113-127
8SC BragaSC Braga42116-517
9MaritimoMaritimo52126-8-27
10Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu51225-8-35
11Vitória SCVitória SC51133-5-24
12NacionalNacional51136-8-24
13MoreirenseMoreirense51134-12-84
14FamalicaoFamalicao50324-6-23
15Rio AveRio Ave51042-11-93
16EstorilEstoril50232-7-52
17AlvercaAlverca50235-10-52
18Casa PiaCasa Pia50140-11-111
League position 12 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 17 / 18
120%Wins0%0
120%Draws40%2
360%Losses60%3
6100%Goals scored83%5
880%Goals conceded100%10
4100%Points50%2

Season statistic Nacional vs Alverca

NacionalNacional

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 1 / 2
  • Goals scored 6 (1.2)
  • Goals conceded 8 (1.6)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 2

AlvercaAlverca

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 1 / 2
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 10 (2.0)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

NacionalNacional

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

AlvercaAlverca

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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