J1 League · Regular Season - 11

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 20 Oct 2026Updated: 21 Oct 2026, 12:13

Match preview

Nagoya Grampus sit sixth in the J1 League table, a position that reflects genuine consistency rather than accident. Under Miloš Petrović, the club has built an attack capable of troubling the division's best. Their 3–1 win over Kashiwa Reysol on 18 October showed the depth of that threat: Takuya Utida opened the scoring in the sixth minute after a Yudai Kimura pass, Kimura doubled the lead himself on 36 minutes from a Kensuke Nagai assist, and Yuya Yamagishi sealed it on 79 minutes. That victory came after a tense draw with Fagiano Okayama and convincing wins over Kawasaki Frontale and Giravanz Kitakyushu. Cerezo Osaka arrive as visitors on 21 October 2026 at 13:00 into a fixture where Nagoya's attacking rhythm will be tested against an away side that has managed four wins in their last ten matches.

Form and H2H

Nagoya's home record over ten matches reads four wins, one draw, five losses, averaging 1.45 goals for and 1.87 against per game. Cerezo's away form shows four wins, three draws, three losses, with 1.24 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per outing. The head-to-head record between these clubs stretches back to 2013 and shows no clear pattern: the teams have drawn twice, each has won twice, and Cerezo took a single victory. Most recently, in September 2017, Cerezo won 1–0 at home. Neither side has established dominance in this fixture.

Best bet

Over 2.5 goals offers the most compelling angle. Nagoya's attacking output in recent weeks, combined with Cerezo's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, points toward an open match. The main tip is Over 2.5. At 1xBet, a home win pays 2.39, while 1Win offers 2.31 and Mostbet 2.25 for the same outcome. If backing Nagoya straight, those are the current prices available.

Odds to watch

The draw sits at 3.59 with 1xBet, 3.54 with 1Win, and 3.45 with Mostbet. Cerezo's away win is priced at 2.85 on 1xBet, 2.89 on 1Win, and 2.9 on Mostbet. Given Nagoya's home advantage and recent form, the home win represents the shortest odds, but the draw has appeared twice in the head-to-head record and remains a realistic outcome in a competitive J1 fixture.

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet2.393.592.85Place a bet
1Win2.253.523.01Place a bet
Mostbet2.143.523.04Place a bet
22Bet2.283.583.04Place a bet
Best odds2.393.593.04
Average2.273.552.98
Lowest odds2.143.522.85
Compare odds
1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1Win

Welcome Bonus up to 600% (crypto account) or up to 500% (any other currency) + 500 FS across first 4 deposits

1X2 prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka

Date and time 21 October 2026 at 11:00

1X212.3940%
DC1/X67%
BTTSYes70%
1 40%X 27%2 33%

Nagoya Grampus win

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Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Nagoya GrampusNagoya GrampusLast matchesCerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
100%Over 0.5 goals80%
80%Over 1.5 goals80%
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Over 3.5 goals40%
80%BTTS60%
80%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Nagoya Grampus — Cerezo Osaka

In the last 8 meetings, Nagoya Grampus hold the edge — 4 wins for Nagoya Grampus, 3 for Cerezo Osaka, 1 draws.

50% W — 413% D — 138% W — 3
  • Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka6:1Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
    J1 League · 17 May 2026
  • Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus3:0Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
    J1 League · 04 Apr 2026
  • Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus2:1Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
    J1 League · 04 Oct 2025
  • Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1:1Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
    J1 League · 08 Mar 2025
  • Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka2:1Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
    J1 League · 30 Jun 2024
  • Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus2:1Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
    J1 League · 21 Apr 2024
  • Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka3:1Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
    J1 League · 26 Aug 2023
  • Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus3:1Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
    J1 League · 03 Jun 2023
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
88%Over 2.588%
88%BTTS88%
100%Nagoya Grampus over 0.588%

Betting profits Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Nagoya Grampus

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+2.58513
Match WinnerDraw-9.53113
Match WinnerLose+12.52713
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.20911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-2.51211
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.5067
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.0317
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+4.211013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-6.62313
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+3.731013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-4.08713
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+3.08613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-2.81713
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-5.08111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.701011
Goals Over/UnderOver 40.0022
Goals Over/UnderUnder 40.0022

Cerezo Osaka

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+2.86815
Match WinnerDraw-3.63315
Match WinnerLose-6.03415
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-4.55715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.201115
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-5.52415
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.901115
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.6922
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-0.24313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.291013
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-2.17812
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+2.64412
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.7258
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.8658
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.19714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+0.18714

Match statistics

5959%Possession %41%41
0.8857%Expected goals43%0.67
1362%Total shots38%8
350%Shots on target50%3
770%Shots off target30%3
267%Corners33%1
1357%Fouls43%10
120%Yellow cards80%4
00%Red cards0%0
59959%Passes41%422
51661%Accurate passes39%327
133%Saves67%2
467%Offsides33%2

Key events

Nagoya GrampusLast matches Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.2 goals per game.

60% W — 320% D — 120% L — 1
  • Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1:3Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
    WJ1 League · 17 Oct 2026
  • Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus3:3Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
    DJ-League Cup · 14 Oct 2026
  • Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1:2Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
    WJ1 League · 11 Oct 2026
  • KitakyushuKitakyushu1:3Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
    WJ-League Cup · 29 Sept 2026
  • FC TokyoFC Tokyo1:0Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
    LJ1 League · 19 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals / game
2.2
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
80%

Cerezo OsakaLast matches Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.8 goals per game.

60% W — 320% D — 120% L — 1
  • Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka2:4Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
    LJ1 League · 17 Oct 2026
  • Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori2:3Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
    WJ-League Cup · 14 Oct 2026
  • Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka0:0Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
    DJ1 League · 10 Oct 2026
  • Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka2:0Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United
    WEmperor Cup · 07 Oct 2026
  • Fujieda MYFCFujieda MYFC1:2Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
    WJ-League Cup · 29 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1072125-61923
2Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1072125-101523
3FC TokyoFC Tokyo1072121-81323
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1071217-9822
5Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1070322-17521
6KashimaKashima1061321-16519
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1044221-16516
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1044213-9416
9UrawaUrawa1050517-21-415
10Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1042410-11-114
11Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1041512-15-313
12Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1040612-16-412
13Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka103349-16-712
14Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1023512-14-29
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1023511-18-79
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1022611-19-88
17Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1021711-16-57
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1014510-18-87
19JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba101368-19-116
20Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy100464-18-144
League position 12 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 13 / 20
440%Wins30%3
110%Draws30%3
660%Losses40%4
12100%Goals scored75%9
16100%Goals conceded100%16
12100%Points100%12

Season statistic Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 3
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 11 (2.2)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 1

Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 2
  • Lost home / away 1 / 0
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Toyota Stadium, Toyota
  • Referee Ryo Tanimoto

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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