SC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

Paderborn host Hoffenheim on 20 September 2026 at 20:30 in Bundesliga round 4, with the home side desperate to break a scoring drought. Paderborn have failed to score in five of their last ten matches and average just 0.67 goals per game at the Benteler-Arena. Back-to-back defeats to Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund have left them searching for their first goal of the season. Injuries to Eickel, Gayret, Klaas, Michel and Awortwie-Grant compound their attacking problems.

Hoffenheim arrive in sharp form after a 2-1 win over Stuttgart, with Adam Hlozek scoring both goals. The visitors have won half their last ten matches and average 1.90 goals per game on the road. They carry no fresh injury concerns into the weekend and will look to exploit Paderborn's vulnerability in front of goal.

Form and H2H

Paderborn's home record shows four wins and four draws in their last ten, but they have conceded 1.05 goals per game at home. Hoffenheim's away form is stronger: five wins, one draw and four losses, with 2.10 goals scored per game on the road and 1.50 conceded.

The teams have met four times since 2014. Hoffenheim won 3-0 in November 2019 and 1-0 in October 2014. Paderborn drew 1-1 in May 2020 and 0-0 in March 2015. Only one of those four meetings produced over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tighter contest than Hoffenheim's attacking average might suggest.

Best bet

Hoffenheim's away win at 1.66 on Mostbet offers value given Paderborn's scoreless start and the visitors' momentum. Hoffenheim have won 50% of their last ten matches and average nearly two goals per game on the road, while Paderborn have yet to find the net this season. The correct score prediction of 0-2 reflects Hoffenheim's attacking threat and Paderborn's defensive vulnerability.

Odds to watch

Hoffenheim to win is priced at 1.66 on Mostbet, 1.72 on 1xBet and 1.66 on Melbet. Under 2.5 goals sits at reasonable odds given the H2H pattern: only one of four previous meetings exceeded that mark. Both Teams to Score No is worth considering at 2.63, reflecting Paderborn's inability to score and Hoffenheim's clean sheet potential. Hoffenheim's clean sheet at 3.40 is another angle, given Paderborn have managed just 0.67 goals per game at home.