Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia Prediction

Slovenia host North Macedonia in a UEFA Nations League fixture on 29 September 2026 at 21:45. The prediction is Slovenia 2–1 North Macedonia. Slovenia's home record shows one win, five draws, and four losses in their last ten matches, averaging 0.72 goals for and 1.23 against. North Macedonia's away form is weaker: one win, five draws, and four losses, with 0.56 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. The head-to-head record between these sides is even, with one win apiece and two draws across their last three meetings.

Form and H2H

Slovenia have drawn five of their last ten home games, a pattern that reflects their inconsistency at the Stadion Stožice. They scored just 0.72 goals per match at home over this run, suggesting attacking limitations. North Macedonia's away struggles are more pronounced: they concede 1.81 goals per game on the road and have managed only 0.56 goals themselves. In direct meetings, the sides drew 1–1 in March 2019 and June 2021, with North Macedonia winning 2–1 in October 2019. Slovenia's profit trend on the home win is negative at -8.06, while draws have returned 12.25 in profit, indicating bookmakers have consistently underestimated Slovenia's tendency to share points.

Best Bet

Slovenia to win at 1.64 with Melbet offers the sharpest odds among the available partners. Despite Slovenia's mixed home record, North Macedonia's away form is significantly worse, and the prediction of a 2–1 home victory aligns with Slovenia's slight edge in this matchup. The away side's defensive frailty, conceding nearly two goals per game on their travels, makes them vulnerable to a Slovenian attack that, while modest, should create enough chances to win.

Odds to Watch

Over 2.5 goals is worth monitoring at 2.20 odds, given the prediction of a 2–1 scoreline and both teams likely to score. At 1xBet, the home win sits at 1.68, slightly longer than Melbet's 1.64, and Mostbet prices it at 1.60. The draw, which has been profitable historically for Slovenia backers, trades at 3.72 with Melbet, 3.81 with 1xBet, and 3.52 with Mostbet. Benjamin Sesko as anytime goalscorer at 2.10 odds reflects his importance to Slovenia's attacking play.