Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Prediction

Sparta Rotterdam host Ajax on 25 October 2026 at 18:45 in Eredivisie round 10. Sparta beat Willem II 3-2 last time out and have no fresh injury concerns, but their defensive record is alarming: they have conceded an average of 2.50 goals per game and failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 matches. Ajax arrive in Rotterdam after a 5-2 demolition of Groningen. Julian Brandt scored twice in that win and should start again, though Berghuis, Caio Henrique, Blind, Dolberg and Adingra are sidelined through injury. Ajax have won 15 of their last 18 head-to-head meetings against Sparta.

Form and H2H

Sparta's last 10 record reads W2/D4/L4, averaging 1.61 goals for and 2.21 against. Ajax's away form is the standout: they have won 80% of their last 10 away games, averaging 3.09 goals for and 1.50 against. The head-to-head record is one-sided. Ajax won 4-0 in October 2017, then 5-2 in March 2018, 4-1 in September 2019, 2-1 in January 2020, 1-0 in September 2020, and 4-2 in February 2021. Sparta have not beaten Ajax in this fixture for nearly a decade.

Best Bet

Ajax to Win is the main pick. The visitors' away record, Sparta's chronic defensive frailty, and the head-to-head advantage all point to an Ajax victory. The prediction is Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax.

Odds to Watch

No partner prices are currently available for this match. Bettors should monitor the 1X2 market across Melbet, 1xBet, 1Win, Mostbet and 22Bet as odds are released closer to kickoff.