J1 League · Regular Season - 10

Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 16 Oct 2026Updated: 17 Oct 2026, 07:40

Match preview

Tokyo Verdy arrives at this J1 League fixture in freefall. The home side sits 10th of 20 teams and has lost three consecutive matches by a combined 0–7 scoreline: 0–3 to Urawa Red Diamonds, 1–2 to Sagan Tosu, and 0–2 to Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Over their last six games, Tokyo Verdy have won once, drawn once, and conceded eight goals while scoring three. Their defensive structure has collapsed. FC Tokyo, by contrast, arrive as heavy road favourites. In their last ten away matches, they have won eight, drawn one, and lost one, averaging 2.34 goals for and 0.20 against. The visitor's form is the inverse of the host's crisis.

Form and H2H

Tokyo Verdy's home record over ten matches reads W2–D4–L4, with an average of 0.74 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. FC Tokyo's away record is W8–D1–L1, averaging 2.34 goals for and 0.20 against. The head-to-head record between these sides shows FC Tokyo have won their last two meetings: 2–1 in May 2026 and 1–0 in September 2025. Before that, the teams drew 0–0 in March 2026 and 0–0 in August 2024, with two 2–2 draws in April 2024 and April 2025. FC Tokyo have not lost to Tokyo Verdy since at least April 2024.

Best Bet

FC Tokyo not to lose offers value given the visitor's dominant away form and Tokyo Verdy's defensive vulnerability. At 1xBet, a draw or away win pays 1.69 on the 2 selection. Tokyo Verdy have conceded 1.26 goals per home game and shipped eight in six outings; FC Tokyo average 2.34 goals away and have lost only once in ten road matches. The odds undervalue FC Tokyo's control.

Odds to Watch

FC Tokyo's away record and Tokyo Verdy's leaking defence make Over 2.5 goals a candidate. The visitor's profit trend on Over 2 goals sits at +0.42 over their sample. At 1Win, an away win trades at 1.67, reflecting the gap in current form. Tokyo Verdy's home profit on the match winner is –11.05, the deepest red in the fixture's recent data. Kickoff is 17 October 2026 at 08:00.

Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet5.133.821.69Place a bet
1Win5.43.781.63Place a bet
22Bet5.133.811.69Place a bet
Best odds5.403.821.69
Average5.223.801.67
Lowest odds5.133.781.63
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1X2 prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo

Date and time 17 October 2026 at 06:00

1X221.6956%
DCX/281%
BTTSNo30%
1 19%X 25%2 56%

FC Tokyo win

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Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Tokyo VerdyTokyo VerdyLast matchesFC TokyoFC Tokyo
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals60%
20%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS0%
60%Last 5 BTTS0%

Head to Head Tokyo Verdy — FC Tokyo

In the last 7 meetings, FC Tokyo hold the edge — 0 wins for Tokyo Verdy, 2 for FC Tokyo, 5 draws.

0% W — 071% D — 529% W — 2
  • FC TokyoFC Tokyo2:1Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
    J1 League · 10 May 2026
  • Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy0:0FC TokyoFC Tokyo
    J1 League · 22 Mar 2026
  • FC TokyoFC Tokyo1:0Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
    J1 League · 15 Sept 2025
  • Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy2:2FC TokyoFC Tokyo
    J1 League · 02 Apr 2025
  • FC TokyoFC Tokyo0:0Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
    J1 League · 17 Aug 2024
  • Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy2:2FC TokyoFC Tokyo
    J1 League · 13 Apr 2024
  • FC TokyoFC Tokyo1:1Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
    Emperor Cup · 12 Jul 2023
71%Over 0.571%
57%Over 1.557%
43%Over 2.543%
57%BTTS57%
57%Tokyo Verdy over 0.571%

Betting profits Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Tokyo Verdy

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-11.05214
Match WinnerDraw+8.31614
Match WinnerLose-0.37614
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.6534
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+3.2614
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.85912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-1.33312
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.461013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+0.86913
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-5.29414
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+3.831014
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+3.16413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.48913
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.9416
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.7156
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.4033

FC Tokyo

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+0.05914
Match WinnerDraw-6.69214
Match WinnerLose-3.18314
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.4268
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+0.3448
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.62513
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+4.95813
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-6.03412
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+4.061012
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+0.18414
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.641014
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+0.4312
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.6112
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.1111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.69911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-2.62211
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-7.46110
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.36910

Match statistics

1818%Possession %82%82
0.177%Expected goals93%2.44
28%Total shots92%23
00%Shots on target100%8
220%Shots off target80%8
18%Corners92%11
1158%Fouls42%8
2100%Yellow cards0%0
1100%Red cards0%0
15818%Passes82%711
8912%Accurate passes88%641
4100%Saves0%0
375%Offsides25%1

Key events

Tokyo VerdyLast matches Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy have not won in the last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 losses).

0% W — 060% D — 340% L — 2
  • Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy0:2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
    LJ1 League · 11 Oct 2026
  • Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori0:0Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
    DEmperor Cup · 07 Oct 2026
  • Sagan TosuSagan Tosu1:1Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
    DJ-League Cup · 29 Sept 2026
  • UrawaUrawa3:1Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
    LJ1 League · 19 Sept 2026
  • Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1:1JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
    DJ1 League · 13 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
2
Goals / game
0.6
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
60%

FC TokyoLast matches FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo are in a strong run: 4 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.0 goals per game.

80% W — 40% D — 020% L — 1
  • Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1:0FC TokyoFC Tokyo
    LJ-League Cup · 14 Oct 2026
  • FC TokyoFC Tokyo3:0UrawaUrawa
    WJ1 League · 10 Oct 2026
  • FC TokyoFC Tokyo4:0Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare
    WEmperor Cup · 07 Oct 2026
  • Ehime FCEhime FC0:2FC TokyoFC Tokyo
    WJ-League Cup · 29 Sept 2026
  • FC TokyoFC Tokyo1:0Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
    WJ1 League · 19 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals / game
2.0
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
0%

Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol970221-14721
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima962122-61620
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia962122-101220
4FC TokyoFC Tokyo962117-8920
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe961214-9519
6KashimaKashima951319-16316
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos943213-9415
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale934217-14313
9Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama941412-12013
10Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse94148-9-113
11UrawaUrawa940516-21-512
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka93337-12-512
13Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock923412-13-19
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki923411-16-59
15Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus93069-15-69
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga922511-16-58
17Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka921611-13-27
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka91358-16-86
19JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba91268-19-115
20Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy90454-14-104
League position 20 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 4 / 20
00%Wins67%6
444%Draws22%2
556%Losses11%1
424%Goals scored100%17
14100%Goals conceded57%8
420%Points100%20

Season statistic Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 3 (0.6)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 2

FC TokyoFC Tokyo

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 3 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 10 (2.0)
  • Goals conceded 1 (0.2)
  • Clean sheets 4
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu
  • Referee Atsushi Kamimura

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

FC TokyoFC Tokyo

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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