Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 3

Toulouse vs Lille Prediction

ToulouseToulouse
0 : 1FTFrance
LilleLille
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 02 Sept 2026Updated: 03 Sept 2026, 20:47

Match preview

Toulouse host Lille on matchday 3 of Ligue 1 on September 3, 2026, in what promises to be an intriguing clash between a home side seeking stability and a confident visitor. Toulouse have gathered just 1 point from their opening two matches, including a 2–2 draw with Brest and a 0–2 defeat to Lyon. The hosts operate a disciplined, organized approach centered on counterattacks and wing play, though they remain vulnerable defensively against technically gifted attackers. Lille, by contrast, have made an impressive start with 4 points from two games, including a clean-sheet victory over Angers and a 2–2 draw with defending champions PSG. Les Dogues are built on short-passing combinations, high possession control, and rapid transitions orchestrated by a mobile midfield. The tactical battle will pit Lille's sustained positional pressure and attacking creativity against Toulouse's organized mid-block and intensity. Over 90 minutes, Lille's squad depth and current sharpness should edge this encounter, but an open, attacking spectacle is likely.

Form and Head-to-Head

Toulouse's recent form shows 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 outings, averaging 1.29 goals for and 1.60 against at home. Lille arrive with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10, posting an impressive 1.99 goals for and 1.32 against on the road. The historical record between these sides is mixed, spanning from 2011 to 2013, with Lille holding a slight edge in results. Lille's away form and attacking prowess this season contrast sharply with Toulouse's defensive struggles, suggesting the visitors will carry momentum into this fixture.

Best Bet

Over 2.0 total goals is the standout selection for this encounter. Lille's attacking quality and Toulouse's defensive vulnerabilities, combined with the hosts' own attacking intent at home, point toward a match that exceeds two goals. The fixture has all the hallmarks of an open, entertaining contest. At Melbet, this bet is available at 1.55 odds, offering fair value on a prediction that both teams will contribute to the scoreline.

Odds to Watch

Lille's away record and current form make them attractive at the top of the market. Melbet offer 2 at 2.15, 1xBet at 2.24, 1Win at 2.12, and Mostbet at 2.15. A draw is also plausible given Toulouse's defensive setup; the draw is priced at 3.38 on Melbet, 3.51 on 1xBet, 3.35 on 1Win, and 3.31 on Mostbet. Toulouse's home advantage cannot be entirely discounted, with the home win available at 3.4 on Melbet and 1Win, 3.54 on 1xBet, and 3.35 on Mostbet.

Toulouse vs Lille Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet4.263.621.84Place a bet
1xBet4.263.71.96Place a bet
1Win3.83.61.89Place a bet
Mostbet4.23.611.92Place a bet
Best odds4.263.701.96
Average4.133.631.90
Lowest odds3.803.601.84
Compare odds
1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1Win

Welcome Bonus up to 600% (crypto account) or up to 500% (any other currency) + 500 FS across first 4 deposits

1X2 prediction for Toulouse vs Lille

Date and time 3 Sept 2026, 18:45

1X221.84
BTTSYes80%

Competitive fixture

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Toulouse vs Lille Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

ToulouseToulouseLast matchesLilleLille
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
100%Over 1.5 goals100%
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
20%Over 3.5 goals60%
80%BTTS80%
80%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head ToulouseLille

In the last 8 meetings, Lille hold the edge — 1 wins for Toulouse, 6 for Lille, 1 draws.

13% W113% D — 175% W6
  • Toulouse0:4Lille
    Ligue 1 · 12 Apr 2026
  • Lille2:1Toulouse
    Ligue 1 · 14 Sept 2025
  • Toulouse1:2Lille
    Ligue 1 · 12 Apr 2025
  • Lille2:1Toulouse
    Ligue 1 · 05 Oct 2024
  • Toulouse3:1Lille
    Ligue 1 · 25 Feb 2024
  • Lille1:1Toulouse
    Ligue 1 · 12 Nov 2023
  • Toulouse0:2Lille
    Ligue 1 · 18 Mar 2023
  • Lille2:1Toulouse
    Ligue 1 · 17 Sept 2022
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
75%Over 2.575%
75%BTTS75%
75%Toulouse over 0.5100%

Betting profits Toulouse vs Lille

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Toulouse

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.65514
Match WinnerDraw-3.22314
Match WinnerLose-1.61614
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.0679
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-1.5229
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+2.181214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-7.12314
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+5.891114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-8.13314
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+7.091114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-5.38714
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+5.26612
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-3.47612
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+3.0922
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+4.2511
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreYes-0.1312
Both Teams ScoreNo-0.0812

Lille

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+4.66814
Match WinnerDraw+6.39514
Match WinnerLose-6.03114
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.6467
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.1217
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.831013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.21713
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.93714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+0.51714
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.84714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.381014
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-5.82313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.601013
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.8233
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.3611
Both Teams ScoreYes-0.2212
Both Teams ScoreNo+0.1412

Match statistics

5353%Possession %47%47
2471%Total shots29%10
1063%Shots on target38%6
1185%Shots off target15%2
675%Corners25%2
1664%Fouls36%9
1100%Yellow cards0%0
00%Red cards0%0
51453%Passes47%461
44953%Accurate passes47%396
536%Saves64%9
3100%Offsides0%0

Key events

  • 20'
    S. HidalgoYellow card
    Toulouse
  • 34'
    T. JørgensenPenalty cancelled
    Toulouse
  • 45'
    O. SahraouiD. BakwaSubstitution
    Lille
  • 45'
    C. VerdonkR. PerraudSubstitution
    Lille
  • 57'
    E. MbappéN. MukauSubstitution
    Lille
  • 57'
    S. HidalgoJulián VignoloSubstitution
    Toulouse
  • 57'
    O. GiroudA. UedaSubstitution
    Lille
  • 65'
    J. Russell-RoweC. TengstedtSubstitution
    Toulouse
  • 66'
    R. MessaliI. DialloSubstitution
    Toulouse
  • 71'
    N. BentalebB. ÖnalSubstitution
    Lille
  • 71'
    G. RestesM. NifloreSubstitution
    Toulouse
  • 72'
    A. VossahN. SchmidtSubstitution
    Toulouse
  • 73'
    A. UedaGoal
    Lille

ToulouseLast matches Toulouse

In the last 5 matches Toulouse have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 80% of those games.

20% W140% D — 240% L2
  • Stade Brestois 292:2Toulouse
    DLigue 1 · 29 Aug 2026
  • Toulouse0:2Lyon
    LLigue 1 · 22 Aug 2026
  • Toulouse1:2Hamburger SV
    LFriendlies Clubs · 15 Aug 2026
  • Toulouse2:1Real Sociedad
    WFriendlies Clubs · 31 Jul 2026
  • Toulouse1:1Rodez
    DFriendlies Clubs · 25 Jul 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
80%

LilleLast matches Lille

In the last 5 matches Lille have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. BTTS landed in 80% of those games.

40% W260% D — 30% L0
  • Lille2:2Paris Saint Germain
    DLigue 1 · 28 Aug 2026
  • Angers0:2Lille
    WLigue 1 · 23 Aug 2026
  • Everton1:1Lille
    DFriendlies Clubs · 15 Aug 2026
  • Hamburger SV2:2Lille
    DFriendlies Clubs · 08 Aug 2026
  • OH Leuven3:6Lille
    WFriendlies Clubs · 01 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0
Goals / game
2.6
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
80%

Toulouse vs Lille Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1MonacoMonaco22003-036
2Paris FCParis FC21103-034
3LilleLille21104-224
4LyonLyon21103-124
5RennesRennes21105-414
6Estac TroyesEstac Troyes21102-114
7LensLens21016-423
8MarseilleMarseille21014-223
9AngersAngers21013-303
10StrasbourgStrasbourg21012-5-33
11Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2920204-402
12Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain20204-402
13Le MansLe Mans20114-5-11
14LorientLorient20111-2-11
15Le HavreLe Havre20111-2-11
16ToulouseToulouse20112-4-21
17NiceNice20110-3-31
18AuxerreAuxerre20023-8-50
League position 16 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 3 / 18
150%Wins50%1
150%Draws50%1
150%Losses0%0
250%Goals scored100%4
4100%Goals conceded50%2
125%Points100%4

Season statistic Toulouse vs Lille

ToulouseToulouse

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 2 / 0
  • Goals scored 6 (1.2)
  • Goals conceded 8 (1.6)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 1

LilleLille

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 2
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 13 (2.6)
  • Goals conceded 8 (1.6)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
  • Referee M. Vernice

Lineups

ToulouseToulouse

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

LilleLille

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

ToulouseToulouse

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

LilleLille

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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