UEFA Nations League · League A - 2

Serbia vs Netherlands Prediction

1 : 2FTWorld
Alexander Bryant photo
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 25 Sept 2026Updated: 27 Sept 2026, 18:04

Match preview

Serbia hosts the Netherlands in a UEFA Nations League fixture on 27 September 2026 at 19:00. The prediction is Serbia 0–2 Netherlands. The Dutch arrive as heavy favorites, backed by their superior away record: five wins, four draws, and one loss in their last ten matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Serbia's home form tells a different story. Three wins sit alongside seven losses in ten outings, with an average of 0.85 goals for and 2.58 against. The gulf in recent performance makes the Netherlands the clear betting proposition.

Form and H2H

Serbia's home record has been a consistent drain on bettors backing the home side. Over the last ten matches, Serbia's Match Winner selections have returned a profit of –6.19 units. The Double Chance (Win or Draw) has fared slightly better at –1.98 units, but the trend remains negative. The Netherlands' away form reverses this pattern entirely. Their Match Winner Draw bets have generated a profit of 9.73 units, and Double Chance (Win or Draw) sits at 0.49 units profit. The away side's consistency in avoiding defeat has been their calling card.

Best Bet

Netherlands to win at 1.41 with Mostbet or 1.39 with Mostbet offers the most direct route to backing the away side's superiority. The Dutch have won five of their last ten away matches and conceded just 1.05 goals per game on the road. Serbia's leaky home defense and blunt attack make a comfortable Netherlands victory the most likely outcome. The correct score of 0–2 reflects a dominant away performance without Serbia finding the net.

Odds to Watch

Netherlands to win is priced at 1.45 with 1xBet and 1.41 with Melbet. For those seeking tighter margins, 1Win offers 2.25 for the away win. The prediction of a 0–2 scoreline suggests a clean sheet for the Netherlands and a shutout for Serbia. Under 2.5 goals reflects the expectation of a controlled Dutch performance rather than a goal-fest, though the exact total depends on how Serbia responds to early pressure.

Serbia vs Netherlands Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet6.854.881.42Place a bet
1xBet7.0151.45Place a bet
1Win4.332.252.25Place a bet
Mostbet6.64.91.43Place a bet
22Bet7.0151.45Place a bet
Best odds7.015.002.25
Average6.364.411.60
Lowest odds4.332.251.42
Compare odds
1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1Win

Welcome Bonus up to 600% (crypto account) or up to 500% (any other currency) + 500 FS across first 4 deposits

1X2 prediction for Serbia vs Netherlands

Date and time 27 September 2026 at 19:00

1X221.4267%
O/UO 1.5100%
DCX/283%
BTTSYes80%
1 17%X 16%2 67%

Both teams to score - Yes

Place a bet on this match

Serbia vs Netherlands Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

SerbiaSerbiaLast matchesNetherlandsNetherlands
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
100%Over 1.5 goals100%
100%Over 2.5 goals60%
20%Over 3.5 goals60%
60%BTTS100%
60%Last 5 BTTS100%

Head to Head Serbia — Netherlands

In the last 1 meetings, Netherlands hold the edge — 0 wins for Serbia, 1 for Netherlands, 0 draws.

0% W — 00% D — 0100% W — 1
  • SerbiaSerbia1:2NetherlandsNetherlands
    UEFA Nations League · 27 Sept 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
100%BTTS100%
100%Serbia over 0.5100%

Betting profits Serbia vs Netherlands

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Serbia

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-6.19615
Match WinnerDraw-8.27215
Match WinnerLose+0.94715
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.101114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-4.70314
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.06811
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.94511
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.30915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-4.14615
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-4.16314
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.371114
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-4.22110
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.46910
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.9012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+4.7812
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+0.68810
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.60810
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.9222
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.1511
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreYes-2.28310
Both Teams ScoreNo+2.19710

Netherlands

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-4.97815
Match WinnerDraw+9.73615
Match WinnerLose-4.37115
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.381112
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-6.86112
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.51915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.13615
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.02814
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.02814
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+1.06714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-3.07714
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-8.77112
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+2.261112
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+3.2167
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.5257
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.0667
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.0547
Both Teams ScoreYes+1.2647
Both Teams ScoreNo-2.6237

Match statistics

3333%Possession %67%67
1131%Total shots69%25
643%Shots on target57%8
436%Shots off target64%7
343%Corners57%4
741%Fouls59%10
150%Yellow cards50%1
00%Red cards0%0
30233%Passes67%626
23429%Accurate passes71%565
655%Saves45%5
467%Offsides33%2

Key events

  • 12'
    S. LukićYellow card
    Serbia
  • 17'
    C. Gakpo → R. van BommelSubstitution
    Netherlands
  • 30'
    M. MeerdinkPenalty
    Netherlands
  • 45'
    D. Joveljić → L. JovićSubstitution
    Serbia
  • 45'
    S. Milinković-Savić → D. TadićSubstitution
    Serbia
  • 46'
    L. JovićGoal
    Serbia
  • 59'
    K. Nedeljković → S. ErakovićSubstitution
    Serbia
  • 59'
    A. Stanković → N. MaksimovićSubstitution
    Serbia
  • 67'
    T. Reijnders → K. TaylorSubstitution
    Netherlands
  • 67'
    T. Reijnders → K. TaylorSubstitution
    Netherlands
  • 69'
    M. MeerdinkGoal
    Netherlands
  • 71'
    S. Pavlović → F. KostićSubstitution
    Serbia
  • 80'
    D. Dumfries → J. TimberSubstitution
    Netherlands
  • 80'
    M. Meerdink → Q. TimberSubstitution
    Netherlands
  • 85'
    J. TimberYellow card
    Netherlands

SerbiaLast matches Serbia

In the last 5 matches Serbia have 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

20% W — 10% D — 080% L — 4
  • SerbiaSerbia1:2GreeceGreece
    LUEFA Nations League · 24 Sept 2026
  • MexicoMexico5:1SerbiaSerbia
    LFriendlies · 05 Jun 2026
  • Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands3:0SerbiaSerbia
    LFriendlies · 31 May 2026
  • SerbiaSerbia2:1Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
    WFriendlies · 31 Mar 2026
  • SpainSpain3:0SerbiaSerbia
    LFriendlies · 27 Mar 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
4
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
100%
BTTS
60%

NetherlandsLast matches Netherlands

In the last 5 matches Netherlands have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. BTTS landed in 100% of those games.

40% W — 260% D — 30% L — 0
  • NetherlandsNetherlands1:1GermanyGermany
    DUEFA Nations League · 24 Sept 2026
  • NetherlandsNetherlands1:1MoroccoMorocco
    DWorld Cup · 30 Jun 2026
  • TunisiaTunisia1:3NetherlandsNetherlands
    WWorld Cup · 25 Jun 2026
  • NetherlandsNetherlands5:1SwedenSweden
    WWorld Cup · 20 Jun 2026
  • NetherlandsNetherlands2:2JapanJapan
    DWorld Cup · 14 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0
Goals / game
2.4
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
100%

Serbia vs Netherlands Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1BelgiumBelgium11002-023
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland11003-033
1FinlandFinland11007-073
1MaltaMalta11002-113
2FranceFrance11001-013
2AlbaniaAlbania11002-023
2GibraltarGibraltar00000-000
2ScotlandScotland10100-001
3TürkiyeTürkiye10010-1-10
3SloveniaSlovenia10100-001
3BelarusBelarus10010-2-20
3AndorraAndorra10011-2-10
4ItalyItaly10010-2-20
4FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia10010-3-30
4San MarinoSan Marino10010-7-70
1Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland11001-013
1ArmeniaArmenia11002-023
1LithuaniaLithuania11002-023
1GreeceGreece11002-113
2GermanyGermany10101-101
2UkraineUkraine11001-013
2AzerbaijanAzerbaijan00000-000
2MontenegroMontenegro11002-113
3HungaryHungary10010-1-10
3CyprusCyprus10011-2-10
3LiechtensteinLiechtenstein10010-2-20
3NetherlandsNetherlands10101-101
4SerbiaSerbia10011-2-10
4LatviaLatvia10010-2-20
4GeorgiaGeorgia10010-1-10
1SpainSpain11003-213
1SlovakiaSlovakia11002-023
1AustriaAustria11003-123
2CroatiaCroatia11002-113
2Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands10101-101
2KosovoKosovo11001-013
3EnglandEngland10012-3-10
3Rep. Of IrelandRep. Of Ireland10010-1-10
3KazakhstanKazakhstan10101-101
4CzechiaCzechia10011-2-10
4MoldovaMoldova10010-2-20
4IsraelIsrael10011-3-20
1SwedenSweden11002-113
1NorwayNorway11003-213
1LuxembourgLuxembourg11002-113
2PolandPoland10100-001
2PortugalPortugal11001-013
2EstoniaEstonia10101-101
3IcelandIceland10101-101
3DenmarkDenmark10012-3-10
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina10100-001
4WalesWales10010-1-10
4RomaniaRomania10011-2-10
4BulgariaBulgaria10011-2-10
League position 4 / 54Comparative team statisticsLeague position 3 / 54
1100%Wins200%2
00%Draws100%1
1100%Losses0%0
1100%Goals scored100%1
2100%Goals conceded50%1
00%Points100%1

Season statistic Serbia vs Netherlands

SerbiaSerbia

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 1 / 3
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 14 (2.8)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 2

NetherlandsNetherlands

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 12 (2.4)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Rajko Mitić Stadion, Belgrade
  • Referee Szymon Marciniak

Lineups

SerbiaSerbia · 5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. V. Milinković-Savić
  2. K. Nedeljković
  3. S. Babić
  4. S. Pavlović
  5. A. Terzić
  6. N. Gudelj
  7. S. Lukić
  8. A. Živković
  9. A. Stanković
  10. S. Milinković-Savić
  11. D. Joveljić

Bench

  1. N. Maksimović
  2. F. Kostić
  3. Đ. Petrović
  4. L. Samardžić
  5. N. Simić
  6. F. Stanković
  7. D. Tadić
  8. M. Cvetković
  9. V. Dragojević
  10. S. Džodić
  11. S. Eraković
  12. L. Jović

NetherlandsNetherlands · 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. B. Verbruggen
  2. D. Dumfries
  3. J. van Hecke
  4. V. van Dijk
  5. M. van de Ven
  6. R. Gravenberch
  7. J. Veerman
  8. T. Reijnders
  9. C. Summerville
  10. M. Meerdink
  11. C. Gakpo

Bench

  1. M. Flekken
  2. J. Hato
  3. T. Koopmeiners
  4. N. Lang
  5. R. Roefs
  6. K. Taylor
  7. G. Til
  8. Q. Timber
  9. J. Timber
  10. J. Zirkzee
  11. R. van Bommel
  12. N. Aké

Injuries and suspensions

SerbiaSerbia

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

NetherlandsNetherlands

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

← All football predictions